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Tigers (+185) at Twins (-210)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Twins (Probablity Correct: 90.28%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 81.64%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| Twins | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 23, 2019 08:31:58 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 9.72%
Prob Home Team Wins: 90.28%
Average Comb Score: 13.63
Median Comb Score: 13.00
Std Comb Score: 5.73
Prob Over: 81.64%
Prob Under: 18.36%
Twins's Starting Hurler Jose Berrios with a Predicted Home Win Over the Tigers
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Nelson Cruz
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 23, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Twins have a 91.79% winning against the Tigers in a projected matchup between pitchers Jose Berrios and Drew VerHagen.
The hosting Twins have Jose Berrios in the rotation against the Tigers's pitcher Drew VerHagen. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jose Berrios will have 1.783 earned runs, a predicted 23.214 outs, and 8.698 strike outs. The Tigers's Drew VerHagen is predicted to throw for 5.574 innings, allowing 4.648 earned runs, with 7.072 Ks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Nelson Cruz and Travis Demeritte from Twins and Tigers, respectively. According to our game model, Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to bring in 1.531 RBIs and 1.358 runs scored, with an 0.463 OBP and 1.433 Ks. Travis Demeritte is forecast to bring in 0.379 RBIs and 0.322 runs scored, with an 0.302 OBP and 1.359 Ks.
Based on the -210 odds and an estimated 91.79% chance to win, the Twins are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 79.51% over likelihood and -105 odds.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC
Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (LF) | 4.35 | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.244 | 0.287 | 0.352 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 4.38 | 0.33 | 1.11 | 0.32 | 0.12 | 0.247 | 0.266 | 0.338 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4.04 | 0.36 | 1.02 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.248 | 0.306 | 0.345 |
| Niko Goodrum (2B) | 3.92 | 0.39 | 0.89 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.223 | 0.291 | 0.380 |
| Brandon Dixon (1B) | 3.98 | 0.38 | 0.91 | 0.50 | 0.19 | 0.223 | 0.262 | 0.398 |
| Travis Demeritte (RF) | 3.69 | 0.35 | 0.89 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.234 | 0.308 | 0.392 |
| Ronny Rodriguez (3B) | 3.83 | 0.34 | 0.77 | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.195 | 0.227 | 0.397 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 3.67 | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.34 | 0.17 | 0.221 | 0.260 | 0.356 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 3.33 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.143 | 0.235 | 0.304 |
Twins Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (CF) | 4.99 | 1.31 | 1.61 | 1.24 | 0.73 | 0.315 | 0.409 | 0.659 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 5.03 | 1.21 | 1.84 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 0.359 | 0.429 | 0.605 |
| Nelson Cruz (DH) | 4.71 | 1.33 | 1.76 | 1.50 | 0.73 | 0.368 | 0.462 | 0.804 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (RF) | 4.89 | 0.96 | 1.66 | 1.01 | 0.48 | 0.331 | 0.401 | 0.528 |
| Luis Arraez (2B) | 4.68 | 1.02 | 1.96 | 0.90 | 0.64 | 0.410 | 0.483 | 0.533 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 4.37 | 1.10 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 0.85 | 0.304 | 0.417 | 0.696 |
| Ehire Adrianza (1B) | 4.33 | 0.87 | 1.53 | 0.88 | 0.59 | 0.346 | 0.440 | 0.514 |
| Jason Castro (C) | 4.30 | 0.95 | 1.29 | 1.07 | 0.66 | 0.292 | 0.391 | 0.576 |
| Jake Cave (LF) | 4.14 | 0.88 | 1.35 | 0.68 | 0.46 | 0.317 | 0.421 | 0.449 |
Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 17.96 | 6.81 | 3.80 | 0.59 | 4.85 | 5.49 | 9.36% |
Twins Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 22.97 | 8.75 | 2.03 | 0.10 | 1.89 | 7.10 | 88.28% |
Twins Hurler Jose Berrios Effort Not Enough Against Tigers, 6-9
Sat, Aug 24, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jorge Polanco
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 23, 2019 -- Despite valiant effort from Jorge Polanco at the plate, the Twins could not beat the Tigers.
In a home loss, the Jose Berrios start was not enough to lead the Twins to a win over the Tigers. The Twins starter allowed 10 hits and 2 walks. The Twins pitcher had a 0.294 OBP for his appearance. The pitcher allowed 5 earned runs over 5.1 innings pitched. Throwing 66 strikes in a 93 pitch outing for 5 strikeouts.
Nelson Cruz led the Twins in a losing team performance against the Tigers. He had a 0.386 OBP with 5 at bats. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. The hitter had a 0.658 slugging in the game. In the game, he had a 0.301 batting average.
Posted at Sat, August 24, 2019 13:03:50 UTC
Tigers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (LF) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.270 | 0.315 | 0.387 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.286 | 0.301 | 0.392 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.281 | 0.342 | 0.388 |
| Niko Goodrum (2B) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.248 | 0.322 | 0.421 |
| Brandon Dixon (1B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.292 | 0.452 |
| Travis Demeritte (RF) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.280 | 0.360 | 0.453 |
| Ronny Rodriguez (3B) | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0.234 | 0.263 | 0.472 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.255 | 0.296 | 0.404 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.125 | 0.233 | 0.313 |
Twins Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.333 | 0.528 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.295 | 0.358 | 0.494 |
| Nelson Cruz (DH) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.301 | 0.386 | 0.658 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.324 | 0.416 |
| Luis Arraez (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.340 | 0.405 | 0.442 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.246 | 0.343 | 0.572 |
| Ehire Adrianza (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.287 | 0.371 | 0.431 |
| Jason Castro (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.244 | 0.327 | 0.472 |
| Jake Cave (LF) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.270 | 0.371 | 0.426 |