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Angels (+260) at Astros (-300)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Astros (Probablity Correct: 71.50%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 73.51%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angels | 4 | 11 | 0 |
| Astros | 5 | 13 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 23, 2019 09:31:58 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 28.50%
Prob Home Team Wins: 71.50%
Average Comb Score: 13.26
Median Comb Score: 13.00
Std Comb Score: 5.48
Prob Over: 73.51%
Prob Under: 26.49%
Astros's Starting Hurler Zack Greinke with a Predicted Home Win Over the Angels
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 23, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Abraham Toro and Mike Trout, our model estimates the Astros have an estimated 78.32% likelihood of defeating the Angels.
Probable starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Jose Suarez duel it out for the Astros and Angels, respectively. Zack Greinke is estimated from the model to throw for 6.660 innings, allowing 2.397 earned runs, with 6.297 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Angels pitcher will have an outing for 5.770 innings, allowing 4.249 earned runs, with 3.540 walks.
The Astros's Yordan Alvarez and the Angels's Brian Goodwin will duel it out from the batter's box. The Astros's Yordan Alvarez is estimated to score 1.101 run, 1.378 RBIs and have a 0.464 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Brian Goodwin is predicted to bat for 0.269 with 0.510 RBIs and 0.443 runs scored.
The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -300 odds and a predicted 78.32% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 73.73% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC
Angels Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher (2B) | 4.54 | 0.61 | 1.28 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.275 | 0.334 | 0.382 |
| Mike Trout (CF) | 3.84 | 0.84 | 1.11 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 0.283 | 0.429 | 0.629 |
| Shohei Ohtani (DH) | 4.34 | 0.58 | 1.30 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.292 | 0.351 | 0.507 |
| Kole Calhoun (RF) | 4.07 | 0.55 | 0.94 | 0.67 | 0.51 | 0.225 | 0.317 | 0.456 |
| Justin Upton (LF) | 3.93 | 0.47 | 0.79 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.196 | 0.300 | 0.377 |
| Albert Pujols (1B) | 4.06 | 0.46 | 0.97 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 0.232 | 0.292 | 0.413 |
| Andrelton Simmons (SS) | 4.06 | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 0.261 | 0.302 | 0.365 |
| Matt Thaiss (3B) | 3.76 | 0.48 | 0.71 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.183 | 0.266 | 0.397 |
| Anthony Bemboom (C) | 3.83 | 0.45 | 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.22 | 0.221 | 0.266 | 0.403 |
Astros Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (DH) | 4.68 | 1.17 | 1.60 | 0.93 | 0.73 | 0.335 | 0.428 | 0.648 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 4.79 | 1.03 | 1.64 | 0.94 | 0.52 | 0.334 | 0.403 | 0.602 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4.73 | 0.97 | 1.80 | 0.87 | 0.47 | 0.373 | 0.434 | 0.604 |
| Alex Bregman (SS) | 4.10 | 0.95 | 1.29 | 1.03 | 0.98 | 0.308 | 0.446 | 0.617 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 4.71 | 0.82 | 1.63 | 1.16 | 0.31 | 0.340 | 0.383 | 0.603 |
| Robinson Chirinos (C) | 4.11 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 0.77 | 0.65 | 0.268 | 0.386 | 0.487 |
| Abraham Toro (3B) | 4.30 | 0.62 | 1.19 | 0.68 | 0.40 | 0.271 | 0.332 | 0.434 |
| Jake Marisnick (CF) | 4.29 | 0.72 | 1.21 | 0.73 | 0.28 | 0.275 | 0.335 | 0.507 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4.25 | 0.69 | 1.28 | 0.62 | 0.33 | 0.293 | 0.342 | 0.428 |
Angels Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez | 19.13 | 5.39 | 3.32 | 0.40 | 4.05 | 5.84 | 26.69% |
Astros Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 21.42 | 6.79 | 3.22 | 0.22 | 2.50 | 6.58 | 67.29% |
Hurler Zack Greinke Leads Astros Over Angels, 5-4
Sat, Aug 24, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 23, 2019 -- The Astros squeeze out win against the Angels in a 5 to 4 victory at home.
The Astros starter Zack Greinke helped limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. Throwing 63 strikes in a 96 pitch outing for 1 strikeout. The pitcher allowed 2 earned runs over 6.2 innings pitched. The Astros hurler threw for 10 hits and 0 walks allowed.
Astros were led on hitting by George Springer. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.565 slugging percentage. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Angels. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.293. The Astros hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. The hitter had a 0.379 OBP with 3 at bats.
Mike Trout led the Angels in hitting against the Astros's pitching. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.654. He had a 0.294 batting average in the game. He had a 0.437 OBP with 4 at bats. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.
Posted at Sat, August 24, 2019 03:31:37 UTC
Angels Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fletcher (2B) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.288 | 0.346 | 0.397 |
| Mike Trout (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.294 | 0.437 | 0.654 |
| Shohei Ohtani (DH) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.302 | 0.360 | 0.521 |
| Kole Calhoun (RF) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.239 | 0.330 | 0.484 |
| Justin Upton (LF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.218 | 0.317 | 0.418 |
| Albert Pujols (1B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.251 | 0.307 | 0.442 |
| Andrelton Simmons (SS) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.271 | 0.311 | 0.377 |
| Matt Thaiss (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.194 | 0.275 | 0.418 |
| Anthony Bemboom (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.185 | 0.185 | 0.333 |
Astros Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.293 | 0.379 | 0.565 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.300 | 0.362 | 0.538 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.337 | 0.394 | 0.541 |
| Alex Bregman (SS) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.281 | 0.408 | 0.560 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.305 | 0.344 | 0.548 |
| Robinson Chirinos (C) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.239 | 0.346 | 0.434 |
| Abraham Toro (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 0.250 |
| Jake Marisnick (CF) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.246 | 0.304 | 0.442 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.260 | 0.301 | 0.375 |