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Cubs (-145) at Pirates (+135)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Cubs (Probablity Correct: 71.18%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 67.29%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Pirates | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 18, 2019 07:31:47 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 71.18%
Prob Home Team Wins: 28.82%
Average Comb Score: 12.30
Median Comb Score: 12.00
Std Comb Score: 5.27
Prob Over: 67.29%
Prob Under: 32.71%
Pirates Hurler Mitch Keller Forecasted Loser at Home Against Cubs
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Kris Bryant
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License
August 18, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Pirates are predicted with a 73.28% to lose at home against the Cubs.
Likely starting pitcher Mitch Keller for the Pirates will be matched up with the Cubs probable starter Jose Quintana. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mitch Keller will have 3.885 earned runs, a predicted 19.330 outs, and 6.353 strike outs. Jose Quintana is estimated to have 2.660 earned runs, 21.474 outs, and 5.660 strike outs.
Josh Bell, Pirates's top hitter, will slug it out against Kris Bryant in today's game. Josh Bell is forecast to bat for 0.268 with 0.768 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored. The Cubs's Kris Bryant from the plate is forecast to score 1.046 runs, 0.960 RBIs and have a 0.446 OBP.
According to the -155 ML away odds and an predicted 73.28% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 66.88% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC
Cubs Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward (CF) | 4.69 | 0.96 | 1.50 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.313 | 0.405 | 0.521 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4.82 | 0.92 | 1.56 | 0.66 | 0.46 | 0.318 | 0.381 | 0.541 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 4.35 | 1.02 | 1.50 | 0.97 | 0.72 | 0.339 | 0.446 | 0.620 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 4.20 | 0.93 | 1.41 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.329 | 0.446 | 0.590 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 4.73 | 0.87 | 1.60 | 1.23 | 0.28 | 0.332 | 0.369 | 0.637 |
| Kyle Schwarber (LF) | 4.17 | 0.83 | 1.15 | 0.95 | 0.69 | 0.269 | 0.375 | 0.576 |
| Victor Caratini (C) | 4.06 | 0.70 | 1.27 | 0.71 | 0.69 | 0.305 | 0.409 | 0.513 |
| Tony Kemp (2B) | 4.25 | 0.55 | 1.29 | 0.60 | 0.38 | 0.297 | 0.357 | 0.446 |
| Jose Quintana (P) | 4.43 | 0.33 | 1.02 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.224 | 0.218 | 0.224 |
Pirates Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 4.62 | 0.56 | 1.34 | 0.41 | 0.27 | 0.283 | 0.327 | 0.397 |
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 4.41 | 0.52 | 1.15 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.255 | 0.316 | 0.370 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4.42 | 0.57 | 1.23 | 0.62 | 0.17 | 0.271 | 0.314 | 0.463 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 4.05 | 0.67 | 1.10 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.266 | 0.352 | 0.558 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 3.98 | 0.54 | 1.28 | 0.64 | 0.44 | 0.312 | 0.389 | 0.499 |
| Pablo Reyes (RF) | 4.05 | 0.36 | 0.81 | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.195 | 0.255 | 0.295 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 3.99 | 0.46 | 1.09 | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.267 | 0.314 | 0.422 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 3.83 | 0.44 | 1.02 | 0.47 | 0.27 | 0.259 | 0.319 | 0.402 |
| Mitch Keller (P) | 3.71 | 0.39 | 0.85 | 0.39 | 0.28 | 0.223 | 0.278 | 0.359 |
Cubs Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana | 21.42 | 5.80 | 2.28 | 0.39 | 2.63 | 6.61 | 69.33% |
Pirates Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller | 19.41 | 6.46 | 3.26 | 0.42 | 3.86 | 5.93 | 25.90% |
Kris Bryant Effort Helps the Cubs Beat the Pirates, 7-1
Mon, Aug 19, 2019 | Emma Botos
August 18, 2019 -- On the road, the Cubs blowout the Pirates for a 7-1 win.
Kris Bryant led the Cubs's effort on the road against the Pirates's pitching. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.289. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. The Cubs hitter had 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the road outing.
The Pirates's starting pitcher Mitch Keller could not lead his team for the win. He pitched for 5 Ks. A 8.86 ERA and 0.422 OBP in the appearance against Cubs. The Pirates hurler threw for 7 hits and 2 walks allowed.
Posted at Mon, August 19, 2019 03:32:34 UTC
Cubs Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward (CF) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.268 | 0.350 | 0.458 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.348 | 0.392 | 0.710 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.289 | 0.389 | 0.535 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.283 | 0.395 | 0.510 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.285 | 0.316 | 0.543 |
| Kyle Schwarber (LF) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.228 | 0.322 | 0.485 |
| Victor Caratini (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.349 | 0.424 |
| Tony Kemp (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.188 | 0.182 | 0.281 |
| Jose Quintana (P) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.064 | 0.064 | 0.064 |
Pirates Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.304 | 0.348 | 0.421 |
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.264 | 0.326 | 0.386 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.292 | 0.335 | 0.503 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.280 | 0.365 | 0.585 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.326 | 0.399 | 0.520 |
| Pablo Reyes (RF) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.176 | 0.243 | 0.279 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.329 | 0.441 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.265 | 0.331 | 0.407 |
| Mitch Keller (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |