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Brewers (-105) at Nationals (-105)
Over/Under: 11.0 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Brewers (Probablity Correct: 64.98%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 56.77%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| Nationals | 16 | 19 | 2 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 18, 2019 03:31:27 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 64.98%
Prob Home Team Wins: 35.02%
Average Comb Score: 11.11
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.95
Prob Over: 43.23%
Prob Under: 56.77%
Brewers Led By Pitcher Chase Anderson on the Road Predicted to Beat the Nationals
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Chase Anderson before the Milwaukee Brewers play the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 4, 2017
Willsome429 License
August 18, 2019 -- The Brewers are predicted with a 65.41% for a road win against the Nationals.
The Brewers have Chase Anderson as the probable starting pitcher against Erick Fedde. Chase Anderson is estimated to have 2.462 earned runs, 21.499 outs, and 6.436 strike outs. Erick Fedde is estimated from the model to throw for 6.230 innings, allowing 3.195 earned runs, with 6.867 Ks.
The Brewers's Keston Hiura and the Nationals's Anthony Rendon will slug it out from the plate. Keston Hiura is forecast to bring in 0.849 RBIs and 0.966 runs scored, with an 0.395 OBP and 1.588 Ks. Anthony Rendon is forecast to bat for 0.295 with 0.728 RBIs and 0.671 run scored.
According to the -110 ML away odds and an predicted 65.41% chance to win, the Brewers are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 57.59% likelihood and -115 odds at 11.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC
Brewers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham (CF) | 4.74 | 0.85 | 1.34 | 0.59 | 0.46 | 0.278 | 0.343 | 0.487 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 4.34 | 0.94 | 1.20 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.272 | 0.380 | 0.537 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 4.27 | 1.01 | 1.51 | 1.08 | 0.67 | 0.346 | 0.440 | 0.726 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 4.38 | 0.79 | 1.47 | 0.94 | 0.40 | 0.328 | 0.399 | 0.617 |
| Mike Moustakas (3B) | 4.33 | 0.69 | 1.25 | 0.92 | 0.41 | 0.283 | 0.351 | 0.559 |
| Manny Pina (C) | 4.11 | 0.57 | 1.03 | 0.66 | 0.48 | 0.245 | 0.338 | 0.459 |
| Ben Gamel (LF) | 3.97 | 0.48 | 1.03 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 0.253 | 0.350 | 0.387 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 4.02 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.242 | 0.316 | 0.390 |
| Chase Anderson (P) | 4.02 | 0.34 | 0.85 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.205 | 0.246 | 0.205 |
Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 4.51 | 0.64 | 1.25 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.271 | 0.332 | 0.455 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 4.27 | 0.55 | 1.14 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.261 | 0.340 | 0.381 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 4.15 | 0.67 | 1.25 | 0.72 | 0.46 | 0.294 | 0.376 | 0.554 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 3.89 | 0.59 | 1.04 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.261 | 0.374 | 0.498 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 4.22 | 0.50 | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.27 | 0.219 | 0.268 | 0.463 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 3.95 | 0.40 | 0.92 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 0.228 | 0.299 | 0.391 |
| Brian Dozier (2B) | 3.74 | 0.42 | 0.81 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.209 | 0.307 | 0.384 |
| Yan Gomes (C) | 3.65 | 0.34 | 0.69 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.183 | 0.283 | 0.289 |
| Erick Fedde (P) | 3.55 | 0.27 | 0.60 | 0.16 | 0.47 | 0.163 | 0.256 | 0.163 |
Brewers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Anderson | 21.50 | 6.47 | 3.14 | 0.39 | 2.50 | 6.60 | 63.04% |
Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | 20.31 | 7.90 | 3.22 | 0.40 | 3.12 | 6.22 | 32.88% |
Brewers Slugger Christian Yelich's Stick Not Enough Against Nationals, 8-16
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Christian Yelich with the Milwaukee Brewers
Ian D'Andrea License
August 18, 2019 -- The Brewers struggle on the road against the Nationals with a 8-16 loss.
Slugger Christian Yelich's performance on the bases, could not overcome Nationals's defense against starter Chase Anderson. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 1 run. His batting average was 0.335 in the game. With 3 at bats, Christian Yelich had a 0.424 OBP. The hitter gave up 0 Ks.
Chase Anderson's start did not help them on the road. The hurler gave up 10 earned runs in 2.1 innings. The Nationals had 1 strikeout against Chase Anderson. Brewers's starter allowed 9 hits and 2 walks. The pitcher allowed 0.302 OBP.
Keston Hiura led the Brewers in hitting against the Nationals's pitching. He had 0 Ks in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.313. In 4 at bats, the hitter had a 0.383 OBP.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 21:31:41 UTC
Brewers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham (CF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.309 | 0.479 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.355 | 0.495 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.424 | 0.698 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.313 | 0.383 | 0.586 |
| Mike Moustakas (3B) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0.265 | 0.331 | 0.530 |
| Manny Pina (C) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.225 | 0.310 | 0.411 |
| Ben Gamel (LF) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.249 | 0.337 | 0.386 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.229 | 0.294 | 0.371 |
| Chase Anderson (P) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.033 | 0.094 | 0.033 |
Nationals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.292 | 0.356 | 0.483 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0.289 | 0.373 | 0.430 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.318 | 0.397 | 0.605 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0.286 | 0.398 | 0.553 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.244 | 0.293 | 0.512 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.252 | 0.323 | 0.440 |
| Brian Dozier (2B) | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0.236 | 0.337 | 0.445 |
| Yan Gomes (C) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.209 | 0.313 | 0.324 |
| Erick Fedde (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.133 | 0.133 | 0.133 |