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Astros (-165) at Athletics (+155)
Over/Under: 9.5 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Astros (Probablity Correct: 70.64%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 57.48%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| Athletics | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 18, 2019 05:32:13 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 70.64%
Prob Home Team Wins: 29.36%
Average Comb Score: 10.96
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.93
Prob Over: 57.48%
Prob Under: 42.52%
Mark Canha's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Athletics Over the Astros
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 18, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Athletics are predicted with a 71.93% to lose at home against the Astros.
The hosting Athletics have Brett Anderson in the rotation against the Astros's pitcher Zack Greinke. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Brett Anderson will have 3.198 earned runs, a predicted 20.304 outs, and 5.459 strike outs. The Astros's Zack Greinke is predicted to throw for 6.780 innings, allowing 2.180 earned runs, with 6.083 Ks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Mark Canha and Yordan Alvarez from Athletics and Astros, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Mark Canha is predicted to have 0.475 RBIs and score 0.490 runs over an estimated 3.582 at-bats. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 1.042 RBIs and score 0.863 runs over an estimated 4.196 at-bats.
With -170 money line odds and a estimated 71.93% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Astros over the Astros. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.19% over likelihood and +100 odds.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC
Astros Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (CF) | 4.60 | 0.88 | 1.32 | 0.73 | 0.58 | 0.280 | 0.366 | 0.549 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 4.67 | 0.78 | 1.37 | 0.71 | 0.41 | 0.286 | 0.347 | 0.519 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4.57 | 0.77 | 1.48 | 0.65 | 0.38 | 0.316 | 0.374 | 0.519 |
| Alex Bregman (3B) | 4.01 | 0.81 | 1.07 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.260 | 0.392 | 0.522 |
| Yordan Alvarez (DH) | 4.18 | 0.89 | 1.39 | 1.08 | 0.60 | 0.326 | 0.413 | 0.683 |
| Carlos Correa (SS) | 4.18 | 0.67 | 1.13 | 0.83 | 0.48 | 0.266 | 0.344 | 0.536 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 4.31 | 0.61 | 1.29 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.291 | 0.332 | 0.524 |
| Robinson Chirinos (C) | 3.79 | 0.53 | 0.83 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.213 | 0.326 | 0.387 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4.08 | 0.49 | 1.05 | 0.46 | 0.26 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.364 |
Athletics Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (SS) | 4.26 | 0.54 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.243 | 0.325 | 0.421 |
| Robbie Grossman (LF) | 4.10 | 0.46 | 0.93 | 0.28 | 0.56 | 0.222 | 0.314 | 0.326 |
| Matt Chapman (3B) | 4.07 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 0.240 | 0.320 | 0.495 |
| Matt Olson (1B) | 4.00 | 0.56 | 0.95 | 0.67 | 0.37 | 0.233 | 0.310 | 0.476 |
| Mark Canha (CF) | 3.67 | 0.48 | 0.86 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.229 | 0.348 | 0.445 |
| Corban Joseph (2B) | 4.05 | 0.30 | 1.03 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 0.249 | 0.284 | 0.328 |
| Chad Pinder (RF) | 3.90 | 0.38 | 0.89 | 0.45 | 0.18 | 0.221 | 0.266 | 0.398 |
| Jurickson Profar (DH) | 3.74 | 0.34 | 0.68 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.178 | 0.236 | 0.327 |
| Josh Phegley (C) | 3.71 | 0.36 | 0.83 | 0.37 | 0.14 | 0.216 | 0.257 | 0.371 |
Astros Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 22.17 | 5.70 | 2.70 | 0.39 | 2.14 | 6.85 | 69.88% |
Athletics Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Anderson | 20.30 | 5.45 | 3.27 | 0.28 | 3.18 | 6.25 | 28.07% |
Athletics Fall to Astros Despite Marcus Semien's Effort, 1-4
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Marcus Semien
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) Editosaurus (Crop) License
August 18, 2019 -- The Athletics under perform at home against the Astros for a 1 to 4 loss.
In the loss at home, Marcus Semien was not able to help the Athletics get the run needed against the Astros. The Athletics' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Marcus Semien had a 0.476 slugging percentage. With 3 at bats, he had a game 0.357 OBP. He had a game batting average of 0.271.
Matt Chapman's leadership for the Athletics was not enough for a loss against the Astros. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.262. The hitter had a 0.534 slugging in the game. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game.
The Astros star George Springer's presence on the road helped the team over the Athletics's pitching. His batting average was 0.293 in the game. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 23:31:55 UTC
Astros Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer (CF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.293 | 0.375 | 0.566 |
| Jose Altuve (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.296 | 0.357 | 0.537 |
| Michael Brantley (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.392 | 0.541 |
| Alex Bregman (3B) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.282 | 0.411 | 0.563 |
| Yordan Alvarez (DH) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.417 | 0.701 |
| Carlos Correa (SS) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.359 | 0.558 |
| Yulieski Gurriel (1B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.304 | 0.341 | 0.548 |
| Robinson Chirinos (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.228 | 0.341 | 0.409 |
| Josh Reddick (RF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.265 | 0.305 | 0.384 |
Athletics Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (SS) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.271 | 0.357 | 0.476 |
| Robbie Grossman (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.347 | 0.366 |
| Matt Chapman (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.346 | 0.534 |
| Matt Olson (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.345 | 0.532 |
| Mark Canha (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.261 | 0.381 | 0.505 |
| Corban Joseph (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.238 | 0.400 |
| Chad Pinder (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 | 0.295 | 0.442 |
| Jurickson Profar (DH) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.204 | 0.269 | 0.380 |
| Josh Phegley (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.244 | 0.283 | 0.423 |