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Twins (+100) at Brewers (-110)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Twins (Probablity Correct: 52.47%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 53.42%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| Brewers | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 03:31:20 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 52.47%
Prob Home Team Wins: 47.53%
Average Comb Score: 10.50
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.76
Prob Over: 53.42%
Prob Under: 46.58%
Twins Led By Hitter Mitch Garver on the Road Forecasted to Beat Favored Brewers
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Kyle Gibson
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 14, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Kyle Gibson and Gio Gonzalez, the Twins has an predicted 57.99% chance for a road over the Brewers.
Likely visiting starter Kyle Gibson will will duel it out with the Brewers probable starter Gio Gonzalez. Kyle Gibson is estimated to have 2.460 earned runs, 21.480 outs, and 7.271 strike outs. Our model forecasts the Brewers pitcher will have an outing for 6.552 innings, allowing 2.661 earned runs, with a 2.591 walk.
Mitch Garver, Twins's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mike Moustakas in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Mitch Garver is predicted to bat for 0.261 with 0.804 RBIs and 0.719 runs scored. Mike Moustakas 3B is forecast to bat for 0.250 with 0.697 RBIs and 0.637 runs scored.
According to the +100 ML away odds and an predicted 57.99% chance to win, the Twins are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.90% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Twins Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (C) | 4.41 | 0.81 | 1.16 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 0.257 | 0.336 | 0.585 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 4.41 | 0.62 | 1.27 | 0.48 | 0.40 | 0.281 | 0.344 | 0.471 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 4.14 | 0.66 | 0.96 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.227 | 0.323 | 0.516 |
| Eddie Rosario (LF) | 4.44 | 0.56 | 1.23 | 0.72 | 0.18 | 0.272 | 0.299 | 0.494 |
| C.J. Cron (1B) | 4.16 | 0.54 | 1.05 | 0.58 | 0.27 | 0.246 | 0.302 | 0.458 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (RF) | 4.03 | 0.48 | 1.01 | 0.46 | 0.30 | 0.245 | 0.308 | 0.401 |
| Max Kepler (CF) | 3.83 | 0.58 | 0.98 | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.248 | 0.327 | 0.523 |
| Jonathan Schoop (2B) | 3.91 | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.237 | 0.285 | 0.421 |
| Kyle Gibson (P) | 3.70 | 0.43 | 0.88 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.231 | 0.290 | 0.370 |
Brewers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham (LF) | 4.63 | 0.64 | 1.19 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.252 | 0.305 | 0.397 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 4.09 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.74 | 0.239 | 0.360 | 0.454 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 4.10 | 0.85 | 1.34 | 0.95 | 0.62 | 0.320 | 0.415 | 0.676 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 4.21 | 0.63 | 1.24 | 0.82 | 0.35 | 0.288 | 0.357 | 0.558 |
| Mike Moustakas (3B) | 4.14 | 0.53 | 1.03 | 0.70 | 0.37 | 0.243 | 0.312 | 0.479 |
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4.05 | 0.37 | 0.96 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.232 | 0.300 | 0.334 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 3.73 | 0.47 | 0.90 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.234 | 0.340 | 0.459 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 3.88 | 0.35 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.216 | 0.281 | 0.340 |
| Gio Gonzalez (P) | 3.47 | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.63 | 0.132 | 0.261 | 0.132 |
Twins Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson | 21.20 | 6.81 | 3.34 | 0.34 | 2.59 | 6.51 | 50.86% |
Brewers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gio Gonzalez | 21.70 | 6.34 | 2.43 | 0.31 | 2.42 | 6.68 | 46.38% |
Mitch Garver Effort Cannot Pull the Twins Over the Brewers, 5-6
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jorge Polanco
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 14, 2019 -- The Twins have a heart breaking loss on the road loss against the Brewers, 5 to 6.
Even Mitch Garver could not help Twins on offense against the Brewers. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.614 slugging percentage in the game. He had 0 Ks in the game. The Twins hitter had 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the road outing. He had a 0.266 batting average in the game. In 5 at bats, the hitter had a 0.346 OBP.
Kyle Gibson's start did not help them on the road. A 4.28 ERA and 0.314 OBP in the appearance against the Brewers. Throwing 55 strikes in a 92 pitch outing for 3 strikeouts. Twins's starter allowed 8 hits and 3 walks.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 22:32:01 UTC
Twins Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Garver (C) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.266 | 0.346 | 0.614 |
| Jorge Polanco (SS) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.294 | 0.357 | 0.487 |
| Miguel Sano (3B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.237 | 0.336 | 0.549 |
| Eddie Rosario (LF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.286 | 0.311 | 0.525 |
| C.J. Cron (1B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.259 | 0.321 | 0.476 |
| Marwin Gonzalez (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.316 | 0.411 |
| Max Kepler (CF) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.337 | 0.536 |
| Jonathan Schoop (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.300 | 0.449 |
| Kyle Gibson (P) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.500 | 0.000 |
Brewers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham (LF) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.314 | 0.350 | 0.543 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.375 | 0.475 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.329 | 0.420 | 0.690 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.307 | 0.377 | 0.585 |
| Mike Moustakas (3B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.326 | 0.509 |
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.248 | 0.314 | 0.357 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.256 | 0.360 | 0.495 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.227 | 0.291 | 0.358 |
| Gio Gonzalez (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.067 | 0.000 |