Twins (+100) at Brewers (-110)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)

Game Pick: Twins (Probablity Correct: 52.47%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 53.42%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Twins562
Brewers6110
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 03:31:20 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 52.47%
Prob Home Team Wins: 47.53%
Average Comb Score: 10.50
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.76
Prob Over: 53.42%
Prob Under: 46.58%

Twins Led By Hitter Mitch Garver on the Road Forecasted to Beat Favored Brewers

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Kyle Gibson
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 14, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Kyle Gibson and Gio Gonzalez, the Twins has an predicted 57.99% chance for a road over the Brewers.

Likely visiting starter Kyle Gibson will will duel it out with the Brewers probable starter Gio Gonzalez. Kyle Gibson is estimated to have 2.460 earned runs, 21.480 outs, and 7.271 strike outs. Our model forecasts the Brewers pitcher will have an outing for 6.552 innings, allowing 2.661 earned runs, with a 2.591 walk.

Mitch Garver, Twins's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mike Moustakas in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Mitch Garver is predicted to bat for 0.261 with 0.804 RBIs and 0.719 runs scored. Mike Moustakas 3B is forecast to bat for 0.250 with 0.697 RBIs and 0.637 runs scored.

According to the +100 ML away odds and an predicted 57.99% chance to win, the Twins are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.90% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Twins Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Mitch Garver (C)4.410.811.160.770.470.2570.3360.585
Jorge Polanco (SS)4.410.621.270.480.400.2810.3440.471
Miguel Sano (3B)4.140.660.960.690.590.2270.3230.516
Eddie Rosario (LF)4.440.561.230.720.180.2720.2990.494
C.J. Cron (1B)4.160.541.050.580.270.2460.3020.458
Marwin Gonzalez (RF)4.030.481.010.460.300.2450.3080.401
Max Kepler (CF)3.830.580.980.620.420.2480.3270.523
Jonathan Schoop (2B)3.910.470.950.500.170.2370.2850.421
Kyle Gibson (P)3.700.430.880.360.290.2310.2900.370

Brewers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham (LF)4.630.641.190.410.340.2520.3050.397
Yasmani Grandal (C)4.090.751.000.530.740.2390.3600.454
Christian Yelich (RF)4.100.851.340.950.620.3200.4150.676
Keston Hiura (2B)4.210.631.240.820.350.2880.3570.558
Mike Moustakas (3B)4.140.531.030.700.370.2430.3120.479
Lorenzo Cain (CF)4.050.370.960.380.360.2320.3000.334
Eric Thames (1B)3.730.470.900.550.540.2340.3400.459
Orlando Arcia (SS)3.880.350.860.430.360.2160.2810.340
Gio Gonzalez (P)3.470.290.470.120.630.1320.2610.132

Twins Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Kyle Gibson21.206.813.340.342.596.5150.86%

Brewers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Gio Gonzalez21.706.342.430.312.426.6846.38%

Mitch Garver Effort Cannot Pull the Twins Over the Brewers, 5-6

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jorge Polanco
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 14, 2019 -- The Twins have a heart breaking loss on the road loss against the Brewers, 5 to 6.

Even Mitch Garver could not help Twins on offense against the Brewers. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.614 slugging percentage in the game. He had 0 Ks in the game. The Twins hitter had 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the road outing. He had a 0.266 batting average in the game. In 5 at bats, the hitter had a 0.346 OBP.

Kyle Gibson's start did not help them on the road. A 4.28 ERA and 0.314 OBP in the appearance against the Brewers. Throwing 55 strikes in a 92 pitch outing for 3 strikeouts. Twins's starter allowed 8 hits and 3 walks.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 22:32:01 UTC


Twins Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Mitch Garver (C)5110.2660.3460.614
Jorge Polanco (SS)4020.2940.3570.487
Miguel Sano (3B)4110.2370.3360.549
Eddie Rosario (LF)4110.2860.3110.525
C.J. Cron (1B)2000.2590.3210.476
Marwin Gonzalez (RF)4000.2530.3160.411
Max Kepler (CF)2100.2580.3370.536
Jonathan Schoop (2B)4100.2520.3000.449
Kyle Gibson (P)0000.0000.5000.000

Brewers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham (LF)4230.3140.3500.543
Yasmani Grandal (C)3000.2530.3750.475
Christian Yelich (RF)5000.3290.4200.690
Keston Hiura (2B)4110.3070.3770.585
Mike Moustakas (3B)4100.2580.3260.509
Lorenzo Cain (CF)4000.2480.3140.357
Eric Thames (1B)4020.2560.3600.495
Orlando Arcia (SS)2000.2270.2910.358
Gio Gonzalez (P)1000.0000.0670.000