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Reds (+140) at Nationals (-150)
Over/Under: 9.0 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Nationals (Probablity Correct: 55.99%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 58.46%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| Nationals | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 05:32:34 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 44.01%
Prob Home Team Wins: 55.99%
Average Comb Score: 9.08
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.31
Prob Over: 41.54%
Prob Under: 58.46%
Visiting Reds Hurler Trevor Bauer Predicted Loser Against Nationals
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Trevor Bauer
Erik Daniel Drost on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 14, 2019 -- The Reds predicted with a 55.86% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Nationals based on the Snoozle Sports model
Likely visiting starter Trevor Bauer will will duel it out with the Nationals probable starter Stephen Strasburg. The Reds starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.259 outs, allow 2.598 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 6.857 innings, allowing 2.123 earned runs, with a 2.433 walks.
Sluggers Aristides Aquino from the Reds and Anthony Rendon from the Nationals will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to have 0.754 RBIs and score 0.628 runs over an estimated 4.141 at-bats. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon is estimated to score 0.739 runs, 0.696 RBIs and have a 0.384 OBP.
For this game Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the +140 away odds and a predicted 44.14% likelihood to win. With a predicted 57.37% likelihood and -120 odds at 9.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Reds Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker (CF) | 4.33 | 0.55 | 1.02 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.232 | 0.310 | 0.410 |
| Joey Votto (1B) | 4.18 | 0.49 | 0.96 | 0.35 | 0.51 | 0.225 | 0.311 | 0.354 |
| Eugenio Suarez (3B) | 4.12 | 0.56 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 0.218 | 0.299 | 0.452 |
| Josh VanMeter (LF) | 3.98 | 0.51 | 0.99 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.242 | 0.328 | 0.409 |
| Aristides Aquino (RF) | 4.08 | 0.58 | 1.12 | 0.83 | 0.30 | 0.269 | 0.321 | 0.566 |
| Freddy Galvis (2B) | 4.13 | 0.36 | 0.95 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 0.225 | 0.254 | 0.377 |
| Jose Iglesias (SS) | 4.02 | 0.32 | 1.03 | 0.34 | 0.15 | 0.251 | 0.280 | 0.360 |
| Tucker Barnhart (C) | 3.62 | 0.32 | 0.67 | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.178 | 0.267 | 0.296 |
| Trevor Bauer (P) | 3.67 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.210 | 0.262 | 0.327 |
Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 4.55 | 0.66 | 1.29 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.278 | 0.336 | 0.462 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 4.28 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 0.38 | 0.48 | 0.266 | 0.347 | 0.374 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 4.16 | 0.71 | 1.28 | 0.72 | 0.47 | 0.300 | 0.385 | 0.565 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 3.90 | 0.62 | 1.10 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.275 | 0.387 | 0.521 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 4.25 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.26 | 0.230 | 0.277 | 0.492 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera (2B) | 3.94 | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.217 | 0.298 | 0.358 |
| Kurt Suzuki (C) | 3.95 | 0.45 | 0.97 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.240 | 0.301 | 0.423 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 3.78 | 0.40 | 0.86 | 0.39 | 0.22 | 0.222 | 0.293 | 0.388 |
| Stephen Strasburg (P) | 3.76 | 0.28 | 0.63 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.163 | 0.214 | 0.216 |
Reds Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Bauer | 21.45 | 6.51 | 2.80 | 0.40 | 2.54 | 6.58 | 43.58% |
Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Strasburg | 22.27 | 6.94 | 2.55 | 0.27 | 2.12 | 6.88 | 55.12% |
Reds Slugger Jesse Winker's Stick Not Enough Against Nationals, 7-17
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Trevor Bauer
Erik Daniel Drost on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Reds are crushed by the Nationals 7 to 17.
Slugger Jesse Winker could not achieve the Reds road win over the Nationals's pitching. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Jesse Winker had a 0.473 slugging percentage. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.269. The Reds hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs on the road.
Aristides Aquino led the Reds in hitting against the Nationals's pitching. The Reds hitter had 1 RBI and scored 2 runs in the road outing. He had a 0.426 OBP with 5 at bats. He had a 0.386 batting average in the game.
Trevor Bauer's start did not help them on the road. Trevor Bauer allowed 9 earned runs over 4.1 innings pitched. Throwing 64 strikes in a 101 pitch outing for 4 strikeouts. A 4.12 ERA and 0.308 OBP in the appearance against the Nationals. Reds's starter allowed 8 hits and 2 walks.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 00:32:27 UTC
Reds Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.269 | 0.355 | 0.473 |
| Joey Votto (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.352 | 0.410 |
| Eugenio Suarez (3B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.341 | 0.532 |
| Josh VanMeter (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.372 | 0.469 |
| Aristides Aquino (RF) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.386 | 0.426 | 1.023 |
| Freddy Galvis (2B) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0.833 | 0.833 | 1.333 |
| Jose Iglesias (SS) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.290 | 0.321 | 0.417 |
| Tucker Barnhart (C) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.223 | 0.321 | 0.379 |
| Trevor Bauer (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Nationals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (SS) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.293 | 0.355 | 0.484 |
| Adam Eaton (RF) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.284 | 0.367 | 0.407 |
| Anthony Rendon (3B) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.318 | 0.400 | 0.604 |
| Juan Soto (LF) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.290 | 0.404 | 0.545 |
| Matt Adams (1B) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.244 | 0.295 | 0.512 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera (2B) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.381 | 0.409 | 0.571 |
| Kurt Suzuki (C) | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0.261 | 0.320 | 0.465 |
| Victor Robles (CF) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.244 | 0.316 | 0.426 |
| Stephen Strasburg (P) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.161 | 0.203 | 0.232 |