Rangers (+115) at Blue Jays (-125)
Over/Under: 10.5 (-105/-115)

Game Pick: Blue Jays (Probablity Correct: 53.86%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 62.72%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Rangers7101
Blue Jays360
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 02:32:54 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 46.14%
Prob Home Team Wins: 53.86%
Average Comb Score: 9.42
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.37
Prob Over: 37.28%
Prob Under: 62.72%

Blue Jays Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Rangers Despite Bo Bichette's Effort

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Sean Reid-Foley pitching for the Lansing Lugnuts on April 22, 2016
Joel Dinda on Flickr (Original) Trut-h-urts_man (Crop) License

August 14, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Blue Jays are predicted with a 54.63% to lose at home against the Rangers.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Blue Jays's Sean Reid-Foley and the Rangers's Kolby Allard. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Sean Reid-Foley will have 2.798 earned runs, a predicted 21.205 outs, and 7.784 strike outs. The Rangers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.660 outs, allow 2.417 earned runs, and a 0.012 probability of a complete game.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Bo Bichette and Willie Calhoun from Blue Jays and Rangers, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Bo Bichette is predicted to have 0.587 RBIs and score 0.763 runs over an estimated 4.485 at-bats. Willie Calhoun NA is forecast to bring in 0.869 RBIs and 0.684 runs scored, with an 0.326 OBP and 0.912 Ks.

With +115 money line odds and a estimated 54.63% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Rangers over the Rangers. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -115 over odds and a predicted 55.06% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Rangers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Shin-Soo Choo (DH)4.330.781.210.470.580.2740.3760.486
Danny Santana (1B)4.700.711.480.690.210.3090.3430.572
Elvis Andrus (SS)4.540.511.290.470.270.2780.3230.409
Willie Calhoun (LF)4.420.641.270.820.270.2800.3260.564
Nomar Mazara (RF)4.280.501.170.610.290.2670.3200.459
Rougned Odor (2B)4.070.480.900.590.410.2140.2900.458
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (3B)3.970.320.940.300.320.2290.3000.328
Delino DeShields Jr. (CF)3.710.350.970.360.480.2540.3430.361
Jose Trevino (C)2.850.000.000.000.000.0000.0000.000

Blue Jays Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Bo Bichette (SS)4.440.771.540.550.440.3410.4000.622
Cavan Biggio (2B)4.020.540.830.470.760.1990.3250.365
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (DH)4.200.521.150.560.460.2670.3390.452
Randal Grichuk (RF)4.240.481.020.630.290.2340.2870.432
Teoscar Hernandez (CF)4.010.510.890.610.420.2170.2930.440
Rowdy Tellez (1B)4.030.480.900.500.260.2190.2730.425
Brandon Drury (3B)3.990.460.920.440.230.2240.2670.404
Derek Fisher (LF)3.730.560.890.610.390.2320.3020.545
Danny Jansen (C)3.630.410.750.340.320.2020.2720.357

Rangers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Kolby Allard21.847.672.880.132.376.7247.24%

Blue Jays Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Sean Reid-Foley21.246.932.170.392.296.5351.25%

Blue Jays Fall to Rangers Despite Randal Grichuk's Effort, 3-7

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Randal Grichuk of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Johnmaxmena2 License

August 14, 2019 -- The Blue Jays stumble against the visiting Rangers in a 3-7 loss.

Slugger Randal Grichuk could not pull out the Blue Jays home win over the Rangers's pitching. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. The team's leading slugger had a 0.448 slugging percentage in the game. He had a 0.296 OBP with 3 at bats. The Blue Jays hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had a game batting average of 0.241.

Bo Bichette led the Blue Jays in a losing team performance against the Rangers. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.689 slugging percentage. The Blue Jays hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. He had a 0.420 OBP with 5 at bats. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Rangers.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 20:33:16 UTC


Rangers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Shin-Soo Choo (DH)3000.2670.3700.470
Danny Santana (1B)5330.3110.3410.580
Elvis Andrus (SS)5020.2850.3230.418
Willie Calhoun (LF)4000.2680.3170.536
Nomar Mazara (RF)4210.2660.3180.463
Rougned Odor (2B)5000.2040.2760.431
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (3B)3100.2310.3070.328
Delino DeShields Jr. (CF)3110.2550.3470.357
Jose Trevino (C)5000.1500.1500.150

Blue Jays Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Bo Bichette (SS)5000.3650.4200.689
Cavan Biggio (2B)3000.2070.3370.379
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (DH)5000.2720.3440.456
Randal Grichuk (RF)3100.2410.2960.448
Teoscar Hernandez (CF)3100.2230.2990.452
Rowdy Tellez (1B)3100.2280.2830.434
Brandon Drury (3B)4010.2270.2690.409
Derek Fisher (LF)4000.2020.2950.357
Danny Jansen (C)4010.2160.2860.377