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Pirates (+120) at Angels (-130)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Angels (Probablity Correct: 50.09%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 61.23%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Angels | 7 | 10 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:32:36 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 49.91%
Prob Home Team Wins: 50.09%
Average Comb Score: 11.53
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.09
Prob Over: 61.23%
Prob Under: 38.77%
Pirates's Starting Pitcher Chris Archer with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Angels
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Chris Archer of the Tampa Bay Rays, 2017. St.Louis
Johnmaxmena2 License
August 14, 2019 -- According to our model, the Pirates predicted to over perform on the road against the Angels with a 52.09% chance to win.
Likely starting pitcher for the Pirates, Chris Archer, will be paired with the hosting Angels's pitcher Dillon Peters. The Pirates starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.850 outs, allow 2.810 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Angels starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.676 outs, allow 3.155 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game.
Jose Osuna, Pirates's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mike Trout in today's game. Jose Osuna is forecast to bring in 0.846 RBIs and 0.736 runs scored, with an 0.363 OBP and 0.806 Ks. The Angels's Mike Trout CF is estimated to score 0.925 runs, 0.880 RBIs and have a 0.449 OBP.
The Pirates are the best value for the money line based on the +120 odds and a forecasted 52.09% win estimate. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.72% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Pirates Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 4.82 | 0.73 | 1.53 | 0.56 | 0.30 | 0.310 | 0.352 | 0.431 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 4.47 | 0.81 | 1.55 | 0.66 | 0.52 | 0.340 | 0.415 | 0.544 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4.62 | 0.67 | 1.37 | 0.79 | 0.20 | 0.290 | 0.335 | 0.499 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 4.23 | 0.74 | 1.24 | 0.91 | 0.57 | 0.286 | 0.373 | 0.599 |
| Melky Cabrera (RF) | 4.51 | 0.50 | 1.34 | 0.64 | 0.20 | 0.290 | 0.322 | 0.421 |
| Elias Diaz (DH) | 4.26 | 0.44 | 1.09 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.250 | 0.307 | 0.320 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4.18 | 0.56 | 1.21 | 0.58 | 0.30 | 0.283 | 0.333 | 0.448 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 3.99 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.57 | 0.32 | 0.274 | 0.338 | 0.426 |
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 3.91 | 0.51 | 1.08 | 0.42 | 0.29 | 0.268 | 0.328 | 0.392 |
Angels Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Goodwin (LF) | 4.70 | 0.78 | 1.38 | 0.60 | 0.38 | 0.288 | 0.343 | 0.490 |
| Mike Trout (CF) | 3.92 | 0.97 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 0.299 | 0.448 | 0.670 |
| Shohei Ohtani (DH) | 4.44 | 0.66 | 1.32 | 0.78 | 0.44 | 0.290 | 0.357 | 0.514 |
| Kole Calhoun (RF) | 4.20 | 0.63 | 1.03 | 0.74 | 0.54 | 0.239 | 0.332 | 0.485 |
| Albert Pujols (1B) | 4.27 | 0.55 | 1.05 | 0.69 | 0.37 | 0.241 | 0.306 | 0.439 |
| David Fletcher (3B) | 4.17 | 0.47 | 1.24 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.291 | 0.351 | 0.401 |
| Luis Rengifo (2B) | 3.92 | 0.44 | 0.98 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.243 | 0.331 | 0.365 |
| Anthony Bemboom (C) | 3.94 | 0.49 | 1.07 | 0.53 | 0.36 | 0.265 | 0.330 | 0.417 |
| Wilfredo Tovar (SS) | 3.86 | 0.44 | 0.90 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.226 | 0.291 | 0.329 |
Pirates Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Archer | 20.70 | 6.42 | 3.26 | 0.31 | 3.03 | 6.34 | 48.32% |
Angels Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Peters | 20.62 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 0.33 | 3.23 | 6.32 | 46.97% |
Shohei Ohtani's Stick Not Enough for the Pirates Against the Angels, 4-7
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels during a game against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 10, 2019 in Baltimore, Maryland.
Keith Allison License
August 14, 2019 -- The Pirates lose to the Angels 4 to 7 on the road.
Slugger Shohei Ohtani's leadership helped the Angels against Pirates. He had a game batting average of 0.294. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. The Angels' top hitter contributed 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing.
Angels were led on hitting by Mike Trout. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.654 slugging percentage. He had a 0.439 OBP with 3 at bats. The Angels hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Pirates.
Chris Archer's start did not help them on the road. Pirates's starter allowed 5 hits and 2 walks. Throwing 60 strikes in a 98 pitch outing for 10 strikeouts. The hurler gave up 3 earned runs in 5.0 innings. The pitcher allowed 0.333 OBP.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 03:32:28 UTC
Pirates Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (SS) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.304 | 0.349 | 0.426 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.410 | 0.537 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.288 | 0.331 | 0.496 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.285 | 0.367 | 0.595 |
| Melky Cabrera (RF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.289 | 0.321 | 0.418 |
| Elias Diaz (DH) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.248 | 0.303 | 0.314 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.329 | 0.443 |
| Jacob Stallings (C) | 107 | 0 | 9 | 0.271 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Adam Frazier (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.267 | 0.327 | 0.388 |
Angels Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Goodwin (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.335 | 0.481 |
| Mike Trout (CF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.291 | 0.439 | 0.654 |
| Shohei Ohtani (DH) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.294 | 0.356 | 0.512 |
| Kole Calhoun (RF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.326 | 0.479 |
| Albert Pujols (1B) | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.242 | 0.299 | 0.433 |
| David Fletcher (3B) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.284 | 0.343 | 0.394 |
| Luis Rengifo (2B) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.246 | 0.328 | 0.366 |
| Anthony Bemboom (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.300 | 0.300 | 0.400 |
| Wilfredo Tovar (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.207 | 0.270 | 0.276 |