Orioles (+210) at Yankees (-240)
Over/Under: 11.0 (-110/-110) PUSH

Game Pick: Yankees (Probablity Correct: 60.20%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 57.64%) PUSH

FinalRHE
Orioles5100
Yankees670
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 02:32:13 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 39.80%
Prob Home Team Wins: 60.20%
Average Comb Score: 11.06
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.84
Prob Over: 42.36%
Prob Under: 57.64%

Yankees Led By Pitcher J.A. Happ at Home Expected to Beat the Orioles

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 14, 2019 -- The Yankees likely winner at home over the Orioles with a 62.50% of being correct based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Yankees's J.A. Happ and the Orioles's Dylan Bundy. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.601 innings, allowing 2.580 earned runs, with a 2.382 walks. Dylan Bundy is estimated to have 3.178 earned runs, 20.443 outs, and 6.905 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Giovanny Urshela and Trey Mancini from Yankees and Orioles, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Giovanny Urshela is predicted to have 0.884 RBIs and score 0.775 runs over an estimated 4.601 at-bats. Trey Mancini is forecast to bring in 0.714 RBIs and 0.716 runs scored, with an 0.346 OBP and 1.031 K.

For this game Orioles are the best value on the money line bets with on the +210 away odds and a predicted 37.50% likelihood to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 53.20% over estimate and -110 line odds for 11.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Hanser Alberto (3B)4.750.621.550.410.150.3200.3440.426
Trey Mancini (1B)4.390.711.240.650.410.2750.3410.534
Anthony Santander (RF)4.410.611.350.660.290.2990.3440.517
Renato Nunez (DH)4.200.571.010.680.360.2340.3030.467
Jonathan Villar (2B)4.060.491.110.520.410.2670.3360.436
Pedro Severino (C)3.930.481.040.540.410.2580.3350.434
Jace Peterson (LF)3.960.400.950.410.320.2330.2910.382
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)3.930.440.910.490.200.2260.2710.408
Richie Martin (SS)3.760.350.740.310.230.1910.2480.295

Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Brett Gardner (CF)4.530.781.200.590.530.2590.3400.495
Aaron Judge (RF)4.080.761.100.570.860.2640.3940.465
Giovanny Urshela (3B)4.530.731.560.800.290.3360.3830.588
Didi Gregorius (SS)4.580.581.230.770.200.2620.2910.451
Gary Sanchez (C)4.210.681.000.820.370.2320.3050.518
Gleyber Torres (DH)4.080.661.180.650.440.2830.3530.525
Mike Tauchman (LF)3.910.651.200.630.520.3000.3820.575
Mike Ford (1B)3.700.540.710.520.530.1860.3000.391
Thairo Estrada (2B)3.890.571.060.580.290.2650.3170.466

Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Dylan Bundy20.836.603.040.262.936.3839.35%

Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
J.A. Happ21.646.842.190.282.526.6658.27%

Hurler J.A. Happ Leads Yankees Over Orioles, 6-5

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 14, 2019 -- The Yankees slip by the visiting Orioles in a 6-5 win.

The Yankees starter J.A. Happ helped limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. The Yankees hurler threw for 6 hits and 3 walks allowed. He gave up 2 earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched. A 5.40 ERA and 0.325 OBP in the appearance against Orioles. He pitched for 6 Ks.

Even Trey Mancini could not help Orioles on offense against the Yankees. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.533. He had a 0.341 OBP with 3 at bats. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 20:33:16 UTC


Orioles Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Hanser Alberto (3B)5100.3180.3400.427
Trey Mancini (1B)3200.2740.3410.533
Anthony Santander (RF)5000.2970.3370.506
Renato Nunez (DH)5220.2460.3110.481
Jonathan Villar (2B)4020.2690.3380.439
Pedro Severino (C)2010.2630.3370.435
Jace Peterson (LF)3000.2360.2820.389
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)4000.2270.2710.404
Richie Martin (SS)4000.1890.2460.290

Yankees Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Brett Gardner (CF)3000.2560.3370.486
Aaron Judge (RF)4100.2630.3880.454
Giovanny Urshela (3B)4100.3350.3780.586
Didi Gregorius (SS)4110.2610.2870.447
Gary Sanchez (C)3230.2350.3070.521
Gleyber Torres (DH)4100.2820.3490.521
Mike Tauchman (LF)3000.2950.3790.565
Mike Ford (1B)3020.1710.2930.371
Thairo Estrada (2B)3000.2640.3040.491