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Orioles (+210) at Yankees (-240)
Over/Under: 11.0 (-110/-110) PUSH
Game Pick: Yankees (Probablity Correct: 60.20%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 57.64%) PUSH
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Yankees | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 02:32:13 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 39.80%
Prob Home Team Wins: 60.20%
Average Comb Score: 11.06
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.84
Prob Over: 42.36%
Prob Under: 57.64%
Yankees Led By Pitcher J.A. Happ at Home Expected to Beat the Orioles
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Dylan Bundy
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 14, 2019 -- The Yankees likely winner at home over the Orioles with a 62.50% of being correct based on our model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Yankees's J.A. Happ and the Orioles's Dylan Bundy. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.601 innings, allowing 2.580 earned runs, with a 2.382 walks. Dylan Bundy is estimated to have 3.178 earned runs, 20.443 outs, and 6.905 strike outs.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Giovanny Urshela and Trey Mancini from Yankees and Orioles, respectively. Based on the Snoozle model, Giovanny Urshela is predicted to have 0.884 RBIs and score 0.775 runs over an estimated 4.601 at-bats. Trey Mancini is forecast to bring in 0.714 RBIs and 0.716 runs scored, with an 0.346 OBP and 1.031 K.
For this game Orioles are the best value on the money line bets with on the +210 away odds and a predicted 37.50% likelihood to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 53.20% over estimate and -110 line odds for 11.0 runs.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanser Alberto (3B) | 4.75 | 0.62 | 1.55 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 0.320 | 0.344 | 0.426 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 4.39 | 0.71 | 1.24 | 0.65 | 0.41 | 0.275 | 0.341 | 0.534 |
| Anthony Santander (RF) | 4.41 | 0.61 | 1.35 | 0.66 | 0.29 | 0.299 | 0.344 | 0.517 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 4.20 | 0.57 | 1.01 | 0.68 | 0.36 | 0.234 | 0.303 | 0.467 |
| Jonathan Villar (2B) | 4.06 | 0.49 | 1.11 | 0.52 | 0.41 | 0.267 | 0.336 | 0.436 |
| Pedro Severino (C) | 3.93 | 0.48 | 1.04 | 0.54 | 0.41 | 0.258 | 0.335 | 0.434 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 3.96 | 0.40 | 0.95 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.233 | 0.291 | 0.382 |
| Stephen Wilkerson (CF) | 3.93 | 0.44 | 0.91 | 0.49 | 0.20 | 0.226 | 0.271 | 0.408 |
| Richie Martin (SS) | 3.76 | 0.35 | 0.74 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.191 | 0.248 | 0.295 |
Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 4.53 | 0.78 | 1.20 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.259 | 0.340 | 0.495 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 4.08 | 0.76 | 1.10 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.264 | 0.394 | 0.465 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4.53 | 0.73 | 1.56 | 0.80 | 0.29 | 0.336 | 0.383 | 0.588 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 4.58 | 0.58 | 1.23 | 0.77 | 0.20 | 0.262 | 0.291 | 0.451 |
| Gary Sanchez (C) | 4.21 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.37 | 0.232 | 0.305 | 0.518 |
| Gleyber Torres (DH) | 4.08 | 0.66 | 1.18 | 0.65 | 0.44 | 0.283 | 0.353 | 0.525 |
| Mike Tauchman (LF) | 3.91 | 0.65 | 1.20 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.300 | 0.382 | 0.575 |
| Mike Ford (1B) | 3.70 | 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.186 | 0.300 | 0.391 |
| Thairo Estrada (2B) | 3.89 | 0.57 | 1.06 | 0.58 | 0.29 | 0.265 | 0.317 | 0.466 |
Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Bundy | 20.83 | 6.60 | 3.04 | 0.26 | 2.93 | 6.38 | 39.35% |
Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.A. Happ | 21.64 | 6.84 | 2.19 | 0.28 | 2.52 | 6.66 | 58.27% |
Hurler J.A. Happ Leads Yankees Over Orioles, 6-5
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 14, 2019 -- The Yankees slip by the visiting Orioles in a 6-5 win.
The Yankees starter J.A. Happ helped limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. The Yankees hurler threw for 6 hits and 3 walks allowed. He gave up 2 earned runs over 5.0 innings pitched. A 5.40 ERA and 0.325 OBP in the appearance against Orioles. He pitched for 6 Ks.
Even Trey Mancini could not help Orioles on offense against the Yankees. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.533. He had a 0.341 OBP with 3 at bats. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 20:33:16 UTC
Orioles Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanser Alberto (3B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.318 | 0.340 | 0.427 |
| Trey Mancini (1B) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.274 | 0.341 | 0.533 |
| Anthony Santander (RF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.297 | 0.337 | 0.506 |
| Renato Nunez (DH) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0.246 | 0.311 | 0.481 |
| Jonathan Villar (2B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.269 | 0.338 | 0.439 |
| Pedro Severino (C) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.263 | 0.337 | 0.435 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.282 | 0.389 |
| Stephen Wilkerson (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.227 | 0.271 | 0.404 |
| Richie Martin (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.189 | 0.246 | 0.290 |
Yankees Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.337 | 0.486 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.263 | 0.388 | 0.454 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.335 | 0.378 | 0.586 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.261 | 0.287 | 0.447 |
| Gary Sanchez (C) | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.235 | 0.307 | 0.521 |
| Gleyber Torres (DH) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.349 | 0.521 |
| Mike Tauchman (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.295 | 0.379 | 0.565 |
| Mike Ford (1B) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.171 | 0.293 | 0.371 |
| Thairo Estrada (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.264 | 0.304 | 0.491 |