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Mets (+125) at Braves (-135)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-110/-110) PUSH
Game Pick: Braves (Probablity Correct: 52.86%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 52.69%) PUSH
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| Braves | 6 | 8 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:33:12 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 47.14%
Prob Home Team Wins: 52.86%
Average Comb Score: 11.25
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.96
Prob Over: 52.69%
Prob Under: 47.31%
Jeff McNeil's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Mets Over the Braves
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 14, 2019 -- The Mets has an estimated 59.73% likelihood to lose to the Braves based on our model.
On the mound for the Mets will be Steven Matz matched up against Dallas Keuchel. The Snoozle model estimates the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.168 innings, allowing 3.298 earned runs, with 3.457 walks. Our model forecasts the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.553 innings, allowing 2.541 earned runs, with a 2.628 walks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Jeff McNeil and Freddie Freeman from Mets and Braves, respectively. The Mets's Jeff McNeil from the plate is forecast to score 0.737 runs, 0.459 RBIs and have a 0.387 OBP. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bat for 0.313 with 0.834 RBIs and 0.801 run scored.
For this matchup Braves are the best value on the money line bets with on the -135 home ML odds and a forecasted 59.73% chance to win. According to prediction model the 54.93% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Mets Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario (SS) | 4.76 | 0.66 | 1.36 | 0.45 | 0.28 | 0.280 | 0.320 | 0.444 |
| J.D. Davis (LF) | 4.44 | 0.76 | 1.39 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.305 | 0.376 | 0.520 |
| Pete Alonso (1B) | 4.13 | 0.78 | 1.12 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 0.265 | 0.370 | 0.603 |
| Wilson Ramos (C) | 4.25 | 0.56 | 1.18 | 0.59 | 0.47 | 0.270 | 0.343 | 0.410 |
| Michael Conforto (RF) | 3.94 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 0.68 | 0.60 | 0.257 | 0.366 | 0.498 |
| Todd Frazier (3B) | 4.05 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.37 | 0.241 | 0.319 | 0.434 |
| Ruben Tejada (2B) | 4.01 | 0.44 | 1.05 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.255 | 0.320 | 0.404 |
| Juan Lagares (CF) | 3.90 | 0.38 | 0.81 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.202 | 0.274 | 0.286 |
| Steven Matz (P) | 3.89 | 0.50 | 0.95 | 0.62 | 0.20 | 0.237 | 0.267 | 0.450 |
Braves Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (RF) | 4.48 | 0.88 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 0.53 | 0.305 | 0.386 | 0.559 |
| Ozzie Albies (2B) | 4.59 | 0.71 | 1.42 | 0.60 | 0.38 | 0.302 | 0.358 | 0.510 |
| Freddie Freeman (1B) | 4.19 | 0.74 | 1.34 | 0.78 | 0.66 | 0.313 | 0.409 | 0.570 |
| Josh Donaldson (3B) | 4.00 | 0.66 | 1.08 | 0.76 | 0.71 | 0.264 | 0.382 | 0.516 |
| Adam Duvall (LF) | 4.27 | 0.51 | 1.07 | 0.76 | 0.35 | 0.243 | 0.307 | 0.433 |
| Johan Camargo (SS) | 4.26 | 0.43 | 1.01 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.231 | 0.279 | 0.368 |
| Ender Inciarte (CF) | 3.83 | 0.50 | 0.95 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.241 | 0.344 | 0.391 |
| Tyler Flowers (C) | 3.88 | 0.54 | 0.92 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 0.231 | 0.312 | 0.434 |
| Dallas Keuchel (P) | 3.86 | 0.48 | 0.92 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.231 | 0.292 | 0.353 |
Mets Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | 20.69 | 6.25 | 3.21 | 0.33 | 2.94 | 6.34 | 45.54% |
Braves Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Keuchel | 21.04 | 6.64 | 2.87 | 0.37 | 2.67 | 6.48 | 50.76% |
Ozzie Albies's Stick Not Enough for the Mets Against the Braves, 4-6
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Ozzie Albies
Thomson200 License
August 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Mets lose to the Braves 4 to 6.
Slugger Ozzie Albies's leadership helped the Braves against Mets. The Braves' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. The team's leading slugger had a 0.503 slugging percentage in the game. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. He had a game batting average of 0.299.
Braves were led on hitting by Freddie Freeman. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.308. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Mets.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 13:03:54 UTC
Mets Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario (SS) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.281 | 0.319 | 0.438 |
| J.D. Davis (LF) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.310 | 0.375 | 0.519 |
| Pete Alonso (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.362 | 0.584 |
| Wilson Ramos (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.270 | 0.342 | 0.411 |
| Michael Conforto (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.256 | 0.362 | 0.494 |
| Todd Frazier (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.311 | 0.420 |
| Ruben Tejada (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Juan Lagares (CF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.200 | 0.269 | 0.280 |
| Steven Matz (P) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.275 | 0.275 | 0.350 |
Braves Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (RF) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.298 | 0.377 | 0.540 |
| Ozzie Albies (2B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.299 | 0.353 | 0.503 |
| Freddie Freeman (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.308 | 0.401 | 0.563 |
| Josh Donaldson (3B) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.263 | 0.380 | 0.513 |
| Adam Duvall (LF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.306 | 0.515 |
| Johan Camargo (SS) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.221 | 0.268 | 0.346 |
| Ender Inciarte (CF) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.244 | 0.344 | 0.394 |
| Tyler Flowers (C) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.221 | 0.297 | 0.409 |
| Dallas Keuchel (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.130 | 0.167 | 0.174 |