Mets (+125) at Braves (-135)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-110/-110) PUSH

Game Pick: Braves (Probablity Correct: 52.86%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 52.69%) PUSH

FinalRHE
Mets4120
Braves681
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:33:12 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 47.14%
Prob Home Team Wins: 52.86%
Average Comb Score: 11.25
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.96
Prob Over: 52.69%
Prob Under: 47.31%

Jeff McNeil's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Mets Over the Braves

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Steven Matz on July 7, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 14, 2019 -- The Mets has an estimated 59.73% likelihood to lose to the Braves based on our model.

On the mound for the Mets will be Steven Matz matched up against Dallas Keuchel. The Snoozle model estimates the Mets pitcher will have an outing for 6.168 innings, allowing 3.298 earned runs, with 3.457 walks. Our model forecasts the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.553 innings, allowing 2.541 earned runs, with a 2.628 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Jeff McNeil and Freddie Freeman from Mets and Braves, respectively. The Mets's Jeff McNeil from the plate is forecast to score 0.737 runs, 0.459 RBIs and have a 0.387 OBP. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bat for 0.313 with 0.834 RBIs and 0.801 run scored.

For this matchup Braves are the best value on the money line bets with on the -135 home ML odds and a forecasted 59.73% chance to win. According to prediction model the 54.93% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Mets Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Amed Rosario (SS)4.760.661.360.450.280.2800.3200.444
J.D. Davis (LF)4.440.761.390.610.480.3050.3760.520
Pete Alonso (1B)4.130.781.120.850.550.2650.3700.603
Wilson Ramos (C)4.250.561.180.590.470.2700.3430.410
Michael Conforto (RF)3.940.631.040.680.600.2570.3660.498
Todd Frazier (3B)4.050.501.000.610.370.2410.3190.434
Ruben Tejada (2B)4.010.441.050.480.360.2550.3200.404
Juan Lagares (CF)3.900.380.810.310.360.2020.2740.286
Steven Matz (P)3.890.500.950.620.200.2370.2670.450

Braves Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. (RF)4.480.881.390.750.530.3050.3860.559
Ozzie Albies (2B)4.590.711.420.600.380.3020.3580.510
Freddie Freeman (1B)4.190.741.340.780.660.3130.4090.570
Josh Donaldson (3B)4.000.661.080.760.710.2640.3820.516
Adam Duvall (LF)4.270.511.070.760.350.2430.3070.433
Johan Camargo (SS)4.260.431.010.470.290.2310.2790.368
Ender Inciarte (CF)3.830.500.950.420.530.2410.3440.391
Tyler Flowers (C)3.880.540.920.550.400.2310.3120.434
Dallas Keuchel (P)3.860.480.920.380.320.2310.2920.353

Mets Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Steven Matz20.696.253.210.332.946.3445.54%

Braves Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Dallas Keuchel21.046.642.870.372.676.4850.76%

Ozzie Albies's Stick Not Enough for the Mets Against the Braves, 4-6

Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Ozzie Albies
Thomson200 License

August 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Mets lose to the Braves 4 to 6.

Slugger Ozzie Albies's leadership helped the Braves against Mets. The Braves' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. The team's leading slugger had a 0.503 slugging percentage in the game. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. He had a game batting average of 0.299.

Braves were led on hitting by Freddie Freeman. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.308. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Mets.

Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 13:03:54 UTC


Mets Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Amed Rosario (SS)5110.2810.3190.438
J.D. Davis (LF)4020.3100.3750.519
Pete Alonso (1B)4000.2560.3620.584
Wilson Ramos (C)4000.2700.3420.411
Michael Conforto (RF)4000.2560.3620.494
Todd Frazier (3B)4000.2360.3110.420
Ruben Tejada (2B)4000.0000.0000.000
Juan Lagares (CF)4100.2000.2690.280
Steven Matz (P)3100.2750.2750.350

Braves Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. (RF)4010.2980.3770.540
Ozzie Albies (2B)4010.2990.3530.503
Freddie Freeman (1B)4000.3080.4010.563
Josh Donaldson (3B)2200.2630.3800.513
Adam Duvall (LF)3100.2580.3060.515
Johan Camargo (SS)4100.2210.2680.346
Ender Inciarte (CF)3120.2440.3440.394
Tyler Flowers (C)4010.2210.2970.409
Dallas Keuchel (P)2000.1300.1670.174