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Mariners (-140) at Tigers (+130)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Mariners (Probablity Correct: 52.78%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 77.23%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Tigers | 3 | 12 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:32:50 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 52.78%
Prob Home Team Wins: 47.22%
Average Comb Score: 7.69
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.90
Prob Over: 22.77%
Prob Under: 77.23%
Tigers Predicted to Fall at Home to Mariners Despite Ronny Rodriguez's Effort
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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August 14, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Tigers are predicted with a 82.52% to lose at home against the Mariners.
On the mound for the Tigers will be Edwin Jackson paired against Marco Gonzales. Our model forecasts the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 5.816 innings, allowing 4.238 earned runs, with a 3.375 walks. Marco Gonzales is estimated to have 2.039 earned runs, 22.625 outs, and 8.164 strike outs.
In a hitting matchup, Ronny Rodriguez of the Tigers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Tom Murphy. Ronny Rodriguez is forecast to bat for 0.203 with 0.487 RBIs and 0.390 runs scored. Tom Murphy is forecast to bring in 1.123 RBIs and 0.867 runs scored, with an 0.372 OBP and 1.768 Ks.
According to the -140 ML away odds and an predicted 82.52% chance to win, the Mariners are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.90% over likelihood and -105 odds.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Mariners Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallex Smith (RF) | 4.46 | 0.41 | 0.96 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.212 | 0.276 | 0.323 |
| J.P. Crawford (SS) | 4.23 | 0.44 | 0.93 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 0.216 | 0.296 | 0.349 |
| Omar Narvaez (C) | 4.15 | 0.52 | 1.13 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.268 | 0.339 | 0.443 |
| Kyle Seager (3B) | 4.10 | 0.49 | 0.91 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 0.216 | 0.286 | 0.424 |
| Domingo Santana (DH) | 3.98 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 0.236 | 0.309 | 0.418 |
| Dan Vogelbach (1B) | 3.64 | 0.50 | 0.76 | 0.52 | 0.66 | 0.206 | 0.328 | 0.445 |
| Tim Lopes (LF) | 3.83 | 0.34 | 0.85 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.217 | 0.285 | 0.358 |
| Dee Gordon (2B) | 3.93 | 0.26 | 1.01 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 0.250 | 0.277 | 0.325 |
| Keon Broxton (CF) | 3.71 | 0.31 | 0.69 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.180 | 0.233 | 0.309 |
Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (LF) | 4.50 | 0.39 | 1.14 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.247 | 0.297 | 0.331 |
| Dawel Lugo (3B) | 4.51 | 0.32 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 0.12 | 0.224 | 0.256 | 0.306 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4.17 | 0.42 | 1.18 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.277 | 0.341 | 0.382 |
| Niko Goodrum (2B) | 4.03 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.242 | 0.318 | 0.408 |
| John Hicks (1B) | 4.19 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.47 | 0.20 | 0.200 | 0.236 | 0.340 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 4.14 | 0.37 | 1.10 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.261 | 0.283 | 0.356 |
| Travis Demeritte (RF) | 3.70 | 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.245 | 0.327 | 0.406 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 3.57 | 0.47 | 0.82 | 0.54 | 0.45 | 0.223 | 0.310 | 0.446 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 3.72 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.241 | 0.283 | 0.400 |
Mariners Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 22.33 | 7.57 | 2.19 | 0.17 | 2.19 | 6.86 | 52.46% |
Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Jackson | 22.35 | 7.96 | 2.75 | 0.21 | 2.05 | 6.90 | 46.77% |
Mariners Hurler Marco Gonzales Effort Not Enough Against Tigers, 2-3
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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August 14, 2019 -- The visiting Mariners have a tough loss to the Tigers, 2 to 3.
Starting on the road, Marco Gonzales's performance could not help the Mariners. Mariners's starter allowed 11 hit and 1 walk. Marco Gonzales allowed 3 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched. The Tigers had 6 strikeouts against Marco Gonzales. A 4.26 ERA and 0.315 OBP in the appearance against the Tigers.
Slugger Mallex Smith could not achieve the Mariners road win over the Tigers's pitching. The Mariners hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs on the road. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.233. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. Mallex Smith had a 0.300 OBP with 4 at bats. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Mallex Smith had a 0.350 slugging percentage.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 03:32:28 UTC
Mariners Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallex Smith (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.233 | 0.300 | 0.350 |
| J.P. Crawford (SS) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.241 | 0.321 | 0.398 |
| Omar Narvaez (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.287 | 0.360 | 0.468 |
| Kyle Seager (3B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.238 | 0.313 | 0.464 |
| Domingo Santana (DH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.259 | 0.335 | 0.453 |
| Dan Vogelbach (1B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.227 | 0.352 | 0.492 |
| Tim Lopes (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.227 | 0.308 | 0.409 |
| Dee Gordon (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.276 | 0.303 | 0.358 |
| Keon Broxton (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.198 | 0.255 | 0.336 |
Tigers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Reyes (LF) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.265 | 0.314 | 0.347 |
| Dawel Lugo (3B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.231 | 0.264 | 0.316 |
| Miguel Cabrera (DH) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.347 | 0.393 |
| Niko Goodrum (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.327 | 0.420 |
| John Hicks (1B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.206 | 0.242 | 0.348 |
| Harold Castro (CF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.285 | 0.304 | 0.383 |
| Travis Demeritte (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.370 | 0.457 |
| Jake Rogers (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.179 | 0.319 | 0.487 |
| Jordy Mercer (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.295 | 0.416 |