Mariners (-140) at Tigers (+130)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-105/-115)

Game Pick: Mariners (Probablity Correct: 52.78%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 77.23%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Mariners271
Tigers3121
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:32:50 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 52.78%
Prob Home Team Wins: 47.22%
Average Comb Score: 7.69
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.90
Prob Over: 22.77%
Prob Under: 77.23%

Tigers Predicted to Fall at Home to Mariners Despite Ronny Rodriguez's Effort

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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August 14, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Tigers are predicted with a 82.52% to lose at home against the Mariners.

On the mound for the Tigers will be Edwin Jackson paired against Marco Gonzales. Our model forecasts the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 5.816 innings, allowing 4.238 earned runs, with a 3.375 walks. Marco Gonzales is estimated to have 2.039 earned runs, 22.625 outs, and 8.164 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Ronny Rodriguez of the Tigers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Tom Murphy. Ronny Rodriguez is forecast to bat for 0.203 with 0.487 RBIs and 0.390 runs scored. Tom Murphy is forecast to bring in 1.123 RBIs and 0.867 runs scored, with an 0.372 OBP and 1.768 Ks.

According to the -140 ML away odds and an predicted 82.52% chance to win, the Mariners are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.90% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Mariners Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Mallex Smith (RF)4.460.410.960.260.340.2120.2760.323
J.P. Crawford (SS)4.230.440.930.290.480.2160.2960.349
Omar Narvaez (C)4.150.521.130.570.430.2680.3390.443
Kyle Seager (3B)4.100.490.910.560.380.2160.2860.424
Domingo Santana (DH)3.980.480.960.500.410.2360.3090.418
Dan Vogelbach (1B)3.640.500.760.520.660.2060.3280.445
Tim Lopes (LF)3.830.340.850.380.310.2170.2850.358
Dee Gordon (2B)3.930.261.010.320.140.2500.2770.325
Keon Broxton (CF)3.710.310.690.350.260.1800.2330.309

Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (LF)4.500.391.140.260.330.2470.2970.331
Dawel Lugo (3B)4.510.321.040.330.120.2240.2560.306
Miguel Cabrera (DH)4.170.421.180.370.390.2770.3410.382
Niko Goodrum (2B)4.030.421.000.450.450.2420.3180.408
John Hicks (1B)4.190.380.860.470.200.2000.2360.340
Harold Castro (CF)4.140.371.100.370.130.2610.2830.356
Travis Demeritte (RF)3.700.430.930.370.450.2450.3270.406
Jake Rogers (C)3.570.470.820.540.450.2230.3100.446
Jordy Mercer (SS)3.720.390.920.420.180.2410.2830.400

Mariners Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Marco Gonzales22.337.572.190.172.196.8652.46%

Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Edwin Jackson22.357.962.750.212.056.9046.77%

Mariners Hurler Marco Gonzales Effort Not Enough Against Tigers, 2-3

Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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August 14, 2019 -- The visiting Mariners have a tough loss to the Tigers, 2 to 3.

Starting on the road, Marco Gonzales's performance could not help the Mariners. Mariners's starter allowed 11 hit and 1 walk. Marco Gonzales allowed 3 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched. The Tigers had 6 strikeouts against Marco Gonzales. A 4.26 ERA and 0.315 OBP in the appearance against the Tigers.

Slugger Mallex Smith could not achieve the Mariners road win over the Tigers's pitching. The Mariners hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs on the road. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.233. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. Mallex Smith had a 0.300 OBP with 4 at bats. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Mallex Smith had a 0.350 slugging percentage.

Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 03:32:28 UTC


Mariners Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Mallex Smith (RF)4000.2330.3000.350
J.P. Crawford (SS)4110.2410.3210.398
Omar Narvaez (C)4000.2870.3600.468
Kyle Seager (3B)3000.2380.3130.464
Domingo Santana (DH)3000.2590.3350.453
Dan Vogelbach (1B)4110.2270.3520.492
Tim Lopes (LF)4000.2270.3080.409
Dee Gordon (2B)3000.2760.3030.358
Keon Broxton (CF)3000.1980.2550.336

Tigers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (LF)4020.2650.3140.347
Dawel Lugo (3B)3000.2310.2640.316
Miguel Cabrera (DH)4000.2840.3470.393
Niko Goodrum (2B)4100.2520.3270.420
John Hicks (1B)4100.2060.2420.348
Harold Castro (CF)4110.2850.3040.383
Travis Demeritte (RF)4000.2830.3700.457
Jake Rogers (C)3000.1790.3190.487
Jordy Mercer (SS)4000.2530.2950.416