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Dodgers (-280) at Marlins (+250)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 82.91%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 57.70%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 9 | 12 | 1 |
| Marlins | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 07:32:41 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 82.91%
Prob Home Team Wins: 17.09%
Average Comb Score: 8.17
Median Comb Score: 8.00
Std Comb Score: 4.09
Prob Over: 42.30%
Prob Under: 57.70%
Dodgers Led By Pitcher Clayton Kershaw on the Road Predicted to Beat the Marlins
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Brian Anderson and J. T. Realmuto of the Miami Marlins. Austin Wynns of the Baltimore Orioles. Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018.
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License
August 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Dodgers take the Marlins for a 83.96% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
The Dodgers have Clayton Kershaw as the probable starting pitcher against Elieser Hernandez. Clayton Kershaw is estimated to have 1.283 earned runs, 23.472 outs, and 7.245 strike outs. Our model forecasts the Marlins pitcher will have an outing for 6.337 innings, allowing 2.935 earned runs, with a 3.098 walks.
In a hitting matchup, Cody Bellinger of the Dodgers will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Brian Anderson. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Cody Bellinger is predicted to bat for 0.320 with 0.973 RBIs and 0.871 run scored. The Marlins's Brian Anderson is estimated to score 0.399 runs, 0.350 RBIs and have a 0.282 OBP.
For this game Dodgers are the best value on the money line bets with on the -280 away odds and a predicted 83.96% likelihood to win. With a predicted 55.19% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (RF) | 4.52 | 0.84 | 1.13 | 0.68 | 0.53 | 0.245 | 0.339 | 0.505 |
| Max Muncy (2B) | 4.26 | 0.86 | 1.14 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 0.262 | 0.379 | 0.526 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 4.34 | 0.78 | 1.27 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 0.288 | 0.375 | 0.501 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 4.12 | 0.86 | 1.33 | 0.99 | 0.71 | 0.316 | 0.419 | 0.663 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 4.24 | 0.57 | 1.16 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.269 | 0.349 | 0.449 |
| Matt Beaty (LF) | 4.43 | 0.55 | 1.37 | 0.77 | 0.22 | 0.303 | 0.336 | 0.525 |
| Edwin Rios (1B) | 3.97 | 0.44 | 1.08 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.267 | 0.355 | 0.428 |
| Russell Martin (C) | 3.66 | 0.41 | 0.84 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.224 | 0.357 | 0.323 |
| Clayton Kershaw (P) | 3.98 | 0.24 | 0.64 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.157 | 0.189 | 0.169 |
Marlins Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Berti (SS) | 4.15 | 0.40 | 1.05 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.247 | 0.311 | 0.366 |
| Isan Diaz (2B) | 4.10 | 0.35 | 0.79 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.189 | 0.248 | 0.305 |
| Brian Anderson (RF) | 3.91 | 0.38 | 0.82 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.206 | 0.280 | 0.379 |
| Garrett Cooper (1B) | 3.87 | 0.33 | 0.92 | 0.39 | 0.30 | 0.232 | 0.296 | 0.361 |
| Starlin Castro (3B) | 4.01 | 0.23 | 0.87 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.212 | 0.237 | 0.313 |
| Harold Ramírez (LF) | 3.86 | 0.21 | 0.84 | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.213 | 0.247 | 0.320 |
| Jorge Alfaro (C) | 3.74 | 0.19 | 0.79 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.205 | 0.240 | 0.321 |
| Lewis Brinson (CF) | 3.60 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.151 | 0.192 | 0.187 |
| Elieser Hernandez (P) | 2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw | 23.47 | 7.32 | 1.51 | 0.41 | 1.28 | 7.26 | 82.45% |
Marlins Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elieser Hernandez | 20.53 | 5.94 | 3.46 | 0.42 | 2.93 | 6.30 | 16.70% |
Clayton Kershaw Comes Out Victorious in a Dodgers at Marlins Matchup, 9-1
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
Starlin Castro
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 14, 2019 -- The Dodgers win big on the road against the Marlins 9 to 1.
The Dodgers's starting pitcher Clayton Kershaw led team on the mound. The hurler gave up 0 earned runs in 7.0 innings. Throwing 66 strikes in a 90 pitch outing for 10 strikeouts. The Dodgers pitcher threw for 2 hits and 0 walks allowed. A 2.63 ERA and 0.268 OBP in the appearance against the Marlins.
Starlin Castro was not able to pull out the win against the Dodgers. The team's leading slugger had a 0.379 slugging percentage in the game. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a 0.284 OBP with 3 at bats. The Marlins hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 03:32:28 UTC
Dodgers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.330 | 0.490 |
| Max Muncy (2B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.258 | 0.368 | 0.514 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.292 | 0.375 | 0.506 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.317 | 0.414 | 0.660 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.267 | 0.342 | 0.449 |
| Matt Beaty (LF) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.293 | 0.329 | 0.506 |
| Edwin Rios (1B) | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0.346 | 0.485 | 0.731 |
| Russell Martin (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.220 | 0.340 | 0.317 |
| Clayton Kershaw (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.108 | 0.108 | 0.135 |
Marlins Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Berti (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.287 | 0.361 | 0.426 |
| Isan Diaz (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.171 | 0.237 | 0.286 |
| Brian Anderson (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.251 | 0.332 | 0.462 |
| Garrett Cooper (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.352 | 0.437 |
| Starlin Castro (3B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.284 | 0.379 |
| Harold Ramírez (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.298 | 0.392 |
| Jorge Alfaro (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.252 | 0.289 | 0.393 |
| Lewis Brinson (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.191 | 0.239 | 0.236 |
| Elieser Hernandez (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.077 | 0.143 | 0.077 |