Diamondbacks (-135) at Rockies (+125)
Over/Under: 12.5 (-115/-105)

Game Pick: Diamondbacks (Probablity Correct: 67.53%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 65.13%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Diamondbacks6124
Rockies7100
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 06:31:58 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 67.53%
Prob Home Team Wins: 32.47%
Average Comb Score: 11.01
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 4.91
Prob Over: 34.87%
Prob Under: 65.13%

Diamondbacks's Starting Hurler Robbie Ray with a Forecasted Win Over the Rockies

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Robbie Ray
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 14, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are predicted with a 64.70% for a road win against the Rockies.

On the mound for the Diamondbacks will be Robbie Ray matched up against Kyle Freeland. The Diamondbacks's Robbie Ray is predicted to throw for 6.599 innings, allowing 2.657 earned runs, with 6.273 Ks. Kyle Freeland is estimated from the model to throw for 6.070 innings, allowing 3.566 earned runs, with 6.702 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Alex Avila of the Diamondbacks will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Charlie Blackmon. According to our game model, Alex Avila C is estimated to have 0.761 RBIs and score 0.703 runs over an estimated 3.538 at-bats. The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon is estimated to score 0.796 runs, 0.702 RBIs and have a 0.357 OBP.

According to the -135 ML away odds and an predicted 64.70% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.23% over estimate and -105 line odds for 12.5 runs.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Diamondbacks Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Tim Locastro (LF)4.400.801.220.420.360.2710.3870.374
Ketel Marte (CF)4.630.941.630.870.490.3450.4110.612
Eduardo Escobar (3B)4.580.801.400.930.440.3000.3650.581
Christian Walker (1B)4.280.751.280.800.610.2920.3850.534
Wilmer Flores (2B)4.490.581.400.600.260.3050.3550.417
Adam Jones (RF)4.360.621.300.700.280.2920.3460.466
Nick Ahmed (SS)4.140.621.240.660.450.2930.3640.489
Carson Kelly (C)3.880.711.180.860.600.2980.3950.613
Robbie Ray (P)4.310.380.980.350.000.2230.2180.340

Rockies Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Charlie Blackmon (RF)4.560.741.430.670.260.3070.3510.566
Trevor Story (SS)4.350.661.230.690.380.2750.3390.547
Nolan Arenado (3B)4.220.561.250.700.410.2900.3550.516
Yonder Alonso (1B)4.020.390.680.370.520.1650.2600.279
Ian Desmond (LF)4.120.481.050.500.300.2500.3040.449
Raimel Tapia (CF)4.110.421.170.490.220.2780.3130.443
Garrett Hampson (2B)3.900.310.790.310.320.1980.2560.297
Tony Wolters (C)3.710.361.020.300.310.2680.3340.341
Kyle Freeland (P)3.600.310.700.200.310.1870.2460.240

Diamondbacks Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Robbie Ray21.796.542.440.192.496.7166.56%

Rockies Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Kyle Freeland20.100.002.590.643.526.1530.45%

Diamondbacks Loses by a Run to Rockies, 6-7

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Eduardo Escobar
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 14, 2019 -- The visiting Diamondbacks have a tough loss to the Rockies, 6 to 7.

Slugger Eduardo Escobar's performance on the bases, could not overcome Rockies's defense against starter Robbie Ray. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. Eduardo Escobar had a 0.330 OBP with 5 at bats. His batting average was 0.273 in the game. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Eduardo Escobar had a 0.527 slugging percentage. On the road, he had 2 RBI and scored 1 run.

Starting at home, Kyle Freeland helped lead the Rockies to a win. The Rockies starter allowed 8 hits and 1 walk. Throwing 56 strikes in a 88 pitch outing for 6 strikeouts. The pitcher allowed 5 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched.

Rockies were led on hitting by Charlie Blackmon. The hitter had a 0.367 OBP with 5 at bats. The hitter had a 0.592 slugging in the game. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 23:31:58 UTC


Diamondbacks Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Tim Locastro (LF)4100.2520.3580.346
Ketel Marte (CF)5220.3200.3820.565
Eduardo Escobar (3B)5120.2730.3300.527
Christian Walker (1B)4000.2620.3500.479
Wilmer Flores (2B)4120.2910.3350.407
Adam Jones (RF)3000.2670.3140.421
Nick Ahmed (SS)4000.2690.3280.448
Carson Kelly (C)3000.2670.3600.555
Robbie Ray (P)1000.0680.0680.068

Rockies Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Charlie Blackmon (RF)5000.3230.3670.592
Trevor Story (SS)3200.2880.3530.567
Nolan Arenado (3B)5120.3030.3640.544
Yonder Alonso (1B)4110.3430.4520.714
Ian Desmond (LF)2100.2590.3150.467
Raimel Tapia (CF)4100.2910.3270.456
Garrett Hampson (2B)1010.2120.2720.318
Tony Wolters (C)3000.2860.3500.362
Kyle Freeland (P)2000.0910.1670.091