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Cubs (+105) at Phillies (-115)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-110/-110)
Game Pick: Cubs (Probablity Correct: 58.32%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 61.98%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Phillies | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 08:33:03 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 58.32%
Prob Home Team Wins: 41.68%
Average Comb Score: 8.71
Median Comb Score: 8.00
Std Comb Score: 4.26
Prob Over: 38.02%
Prob Under: 61.98%
Cubs's Starting Pitcher Cole Hamels with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Phillies
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cole Hamels
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 14, 2019 -- On the road, the Cubs take the Phillies for a 55.77% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
Likely visiting starter Cole Hamels will will duel it out with the Phillies probable starter Aaron Nola. The Cubs's Cole Hamels is predicted to throw for 6.819 innings, allowing 2.179 earned runs, with 6.785 Ks. Aaron Nola is estimated from the model to throw for 6.545 innings, allowing 2.297 earned runs, with 5.729 Ks.
In a hitting matchup, Kris Bryant of the Cubs will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Corey Dickerson. Kris Bryant is forecast to bring in 0.614 RBIs and 0.692 runs scored, with an 0.380 OBP and 1.037 Ks. The Phillies's Corey Dickerson is estimated to score 0.414 runs, 0.644 RBIs and have a 0.297 OBP.
According to the +105 ML away odds and an predicted 55.77% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 62.05% over estimate and -110 line odds for 9.0 runs.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC
Cubs Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kemp (2B) | 4.62 | 0.57 | 1.20 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 0.255 | 0.318 | 0.361 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4.58 | 0.63 | 1.23 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.263 | 0.319 | 0.444 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 4.19 | 0.71 | 1.21 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.284 | 0.380 | 0.518 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 4.03 | 0.64 | 1.14 | 0.66 | 0.53 | 0.275 | 0.383 | 0.492 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 4.44 | 0.59 | 1.27 | 0.87 | 0.21 | 0.279 | 0.312 | 0.541 |
| Kyle Schwarber (LF) | 3.95 | 0.54 | 0.90 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.223 | 0.322 | 0.474 |
| Ian Happ (CF) | 3.82 | 0.47 | 0.94 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.241 | 0.343 | 0.471 |
| Victor Caratini (C) | 3.74 | 0.37 | 0.92 | 0.46 | 0.55 | 0.241 | 0.341 | 0.418 |
| Cole Hamels (P) | 3.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Phillies Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (1B) | 3.95 | 0.65 | 0.90 | 0.45 | 0.80 | 0.222 | 0.357 | 0.450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (C) | 4.37 | 0.52 | 1.12 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 0.252 | 0.306 | 0.422 |
| Bryce Harper (RF) | 3.90 | 0.52 | 0.90 | 0.49 | 0.68 | 0.224 | 0.341 | 0.424 |
| Jean Segura (SS) | 4.20 | 0.41 | 1.11 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 0.259 | 0.307 | 0.395 |
| Scott Kingery (3B) | 4.04 | 0.45 | 1.04 | 0.58 | 0.29 | 0.251 | 0.310 | 0.462 |
| Roman Quinn (CF) | 3.87 | 0.31 | 0.69 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.173 | 0.250 | 0.294 |
| Cesar Hernandez (2B) | 3.91 | 0.31 | 1.03 | 0.35 | 0.22 | 0.257 | 0.304 | 0.366 |
| Adam Haseley (LF) | 3.86 | 0.34 | 0.96 | 0.41 | 0.13 | 0.244 | 0.282 | 0.398 |
| Aaron Nola (P) | 3.51 | 0.20 | 0.41 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.113 | 0.189 | 0.136 |
Cubs Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Hamels | 22.15 | 7.33 | 2.81 | 0.30 | 2.15 | 6.83 | 58.23% |
Phillies Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 21.17 | 5.53 | 2.85 | 0.35 | 2.37 | 6.50 | 40.27% |
Hurler Aaron Nola Leads Phillies Over Cubs in a 11 to 1 Blowout at Home
Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos
When this file was uploaded to Wikimedia Commons, it was available from Flickr under the stated license. The Flickr user has since stopped distributing the file under this license. As Creative Commons licenses cannot be revoked in this manner, the file is still free to use under the terms of the license specified. See the Creative Commons FAQ on revoking licensing.
Arturo Pardavila III on Flickr License
August 14, 2019 -- The Phillies destroy the visiting Cubs in a 11-1 win.
The Aaron Nola start helped keep the Cubs hitters at bay. The pitcher allowed 1 earned runs over 7.0 innings pitched. The Phillies hurler threw for 3 hits and 1 walk allowed. A 3.56 ERA and 0.318 OBP in the appearance against Cubs. Throwing 74 strikes in a 105 pitch outing for 7 strikeouts.
Phillies were led on hitting by Scott Kingery. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Cubs. The hitter had a 0.503 slugging in the game. In the game, he had a 0.275 batting average. The Phillies hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had a 0.336 OBP with 4 at bats.
The Cubs starter Cole Hamels could not help the offense to pull out the win. The pitcher allowed 0.299 OBP. Throwing 35 strikes in a 53 pitch outing for 2 strikeouts. The hurler gave up 8 earned runs in 2.0 innings.
Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 03:32:28 UTC
Cubs Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Kemp (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.208 | 0.200 | 0.250 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.370 | 0.404 | 0.759 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.292 | 0.391 | 0.537 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.391 | 0.504 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.286 | 0.318 | 0.547 |
| Kyle Schwarber (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.229 | 0.324 | 0.487 |
| Ian Happ (CF) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.261 | 0.358 | 0.565 |
| Victor Caratini (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.353 | 0.438 |
| Cole Hamels (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.097 | 0.121 | 0.097 |
Phillies Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (1B) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.243 | 0.381 | 0.488 |
| J.T. Realmuto (C) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0.277 | 0.330 | 0.471 |
| Bryce Harper (RF) | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0.253 | 0.374 | 0.485 |
| Jean Segura (SS) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.330 | 0.430 |
| Scott Kingery (3B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.275 | 0.336 | 0.503 |
| Roman Quinn (CF) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.196 | 0.281 | 0.324 |
| Cesar Hernandez (2B) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.285 | 0.331 | 0.403 |
| Adam Haseley (LF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.266 | 0.303 | 0.426 |
| Aaron Nola (P) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.085 | 0.189 | 0.085 |