Astros (-300) at White Sox (+260)
Over/Under: 10.5 (-110/-110)

Game Pick: Astros (Probablity Correct: 88.21%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 60.38%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Astros9152
White Sox13151
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 14, 2019 03:31:01 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 88.21%
Prob Home Team Wins: 11.79%
Average Comb Score: 12.32
Median Comb Score: 12.00
Std Comb Score: 5.36
Prob Over: 60.38%
Prob Under: 39.62%

White Sox Predicted to Fall at Home to Astros Despite Tim Anderson's Effort

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Wade Miley
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 14, 2019 -- The White Sox have a 82.98% likelihood to fall to the Astros with a based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Ross Detwiler for the White Sox will be matched up with the Astros probable starter Wade Miley. The White Sox starting hurler is predicted to throw for 19.571 outs, allow 3.801 earned runs, and a 0.001 probability of a complete game. Wade Miley is estimated to have 1.841 earned runs, 22.820 outs, and 7.838 strike outs.

Hitters Tim Anderson from the White Sox and Yordan Alvarez from the Astros will lead the offense for their teams. The White Sox's Tim Anderson is estimated to score 0.455 runs, 0.496 RBIs and have a 0.309 OBP. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bring in 1.278 RBIs and 1.160 runs scored, with an 0.458 OBP and 1.262 Ks.

According to the -300 ML away odds and an predicted 82.98% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. According to prediction model the 52.97% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC


Astros Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
George Springer (DH)4.751.141.530.980.740.3170.4130.634
Jose Altuve (2B)4.901.041.640.930.490.3270.3930.594
Michael Brantley (RF)4.810.991.700.810.460.3470.4090.555
Alex Bregman (3B)4.141.081.240.921.000.2920.4360.577
Yordan Alvarez (LF)4.421.161.711.450.660.3810.4630.789
Carlos Correa (SS)4.440.881.451.110.540.3190.3950.621
Yulieski Gurriel (1B)4.610.801.531.000.270.3250.3630.589
Robinson Chirinos (C)3.960.751.030.660.650.2520.3770.459
Jake Marisnick (CF)4.240.731.190.700.280.2740.3340.497

White Sox Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Jon Jay (RF)4.410.361.090.200.150.2400.2720.292
Tim Anderson (SS)4.370.441.270.470.110.2840.3080.430
Jose Abreu (1B)4.180.421.000.490.200.2330.2740.414
James McCann (C)4.000.381.010.440.260.2470.2980.398
Eloy Jimenez (LF)3.930.380.810.500.260.2010.2530.383
Welington Castillo (DH)3.780.300.640.300.270.1650.2300.295
Ryan Goins (3B)3.500.330.870.250.430.2420.3300.374
Adam Engel (CF)3.610.270.710.280.180.1900.2440.301
Carlos Sanchez (2B)3.480.250.740.220.240.2050.2610.268

Astros Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Wade Miley22.897.971.750.341.857.0687.29%

White Sox Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Ross Detwiler18.862.673.610.404.235.7810.87%

Adam Engel's White Sox at Home Beat the Astros, 13-9

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

w:Adam Engel for the 2017 Chicago White Sox
TonyTheTiger License

August 14, 2019 -- Adam Engel's hitting at home leads the White Sox over the Astros.

Slugger Adam Engel's leadership helped the White Sox against Astros. The White Sox hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had a 0.283 OBP with 4 at bats. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a game batting average of 0.222. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Adam Engel had a 0.342 slugging percentage.

Even Yordan Alvarez could not help Astros on offense against the White Sox. He had a 0.422 OBP with 4 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.339. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.694. The Astros hitter had 1 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 22:32:01 UTC


Astros Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
George Springer (DH)6100.2970.3810.586
Jose Altuve (2B)5320.3070.3680.561
Michael Brantley (RF)5200.3280.3870.525
Alex Bregman (3B)5030.2770.4060.550
Yordan Alvarez (LF)4010.3390.4220.694
Carlos Correa (SS)2000.2860.3640.557
Yulieski Gurriel (1B)4230.3060.3420.556
Robinson Chirinos (C)3000.2320.3490.423
Jake Marisnick (CF)5100.2490.3060.454

White Sox Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Jon Jay (RF)5000.2850.3170.343
Tim Anderson (SS)5210.3230.3460.491
Jose Abreu (1B)3120.2760.3160.484
James McCann (C)5240.2880.3420.464
Eloy Jimenez (LF)5310.2400.2940.463
Welington Castillo (DH)3120.2040.2780.358
Ryan Goins (3B)4000.2840.3820.432
Adam Engel (CF)4100.2220.2830.342
Carlos Sanchez (2B)2310.2460.3090.318