Orioles (+260) at Yankees (-300)
Over/Under: 10.0 (+100/-120)

Game Pick: Yankees (Probablity Correct: 67.47%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 70.98%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Orioles360
Yankees8150
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 13, 2019 07:31:29 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 32.53%
Prob Home Team Wins: 67.47%
Average Comb Score: 8.52
Median Comb Score: 8.00
Std Comb Score: 4.14
Prob Over: 29.02%
Prob Under: 70.98%

Yankees's Starting Hurler Domingo German with a Predicted Home Win Over the Orioles

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
United States Naval Academy License

August 13, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Brett Gardner and Jonathan Villar, our model estimates the Yankees have an estimated 67.70% likelihood of defeating the Orioles.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Yankees's Domingo German and the Orioles's John Means. Domingo German is estimated from the model to throw for 7.160 innings, allowing 1.602 earned runs, with 6.987 Ks. John Means is estimated to have 2.413 earned runs, 21.665 outs, and 6.550 strike outs.

The Yankees's Mike Tauchman and the Orioles's Trey Mancini will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Tauchman is predicted to have 0.537 RBIs and score 0.564 runs over an estimated 3.619 at-bats. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.464 RBIs and score 0.489 runs over an estimated 4.200 at-bats.

The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +260 odds and a forecasted 32.30% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 74.21% over estimate and -120 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC


Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Jonathan Villar (SS)4.290.450.980.310.360.2220.2850.362
Trey Mancini (DH)4.200.501.000.480.330.2330.2920.450
Anthony Santander (RF)4.210.401.090.450.240.2520.2930.421
Renato Nunez (1B)4.040.390.800.470.280.1940.2530.382
Jace Peterson (LF)3.970.300.770.320.280.1890.2440.311
Hanser Alberto (2B)4.020.281.100.310.100.2670.2890.356
Chance Sisco (C)3.580.330.680.330.320.1850.2760.341
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)3.740.290.680.310.160.1760.2170.309
Rio Ruiz (3B)3.500.290.720.250.300.2000.2610.292

Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
DJ LeMahieu (1B)4.610.681.430.540.340.3050.3530.479
Aaron Judge (RF)4.050.620.990.480.770.2400.3630.414
Giovanny Urshela (3B)4.440.621.360.690.250.3010.3460.533
Gary Sanchez (DH)4.260.560.870.760.310.1990.2650.452
Gleyber Torres (2B)4.110.551.060.630.400.2520.3190.464
Didi Gregorius (SS)4.240.451.000.490.160.2310.2590.395
Cameron Maybin (LF)3.850.541.110.450.440.2830.3550.487
Austin Romine (C)4.040.420.950.420.130.2280.2520.362
Mike Tauchman (CF)3.640.570.980.540.430.2640.3390.516

Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
John Means21.596.902.560.172.496.6432.64%

Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Domingo German23.140.002.010.261.717.1466.81%

Orioles Slugger Jonathan Villar's Stick Not Enough Against Yankees, 3-8

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License

August 13, 2019 -- The visiting Orioles lose to the home town Yankees 3 to 8 in bad loss.

Slugger Jonathan Villar's performance on the bases, could not overcome Yankees's defense against starter John Means. With 4 at bats, Jonathan Villar had a 0.335 OBP. His batting average was 0.267 in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.

Slugger DJ LeMahieu's leadership helped the Yankees against Orioles. The Yankees' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. Leading the team in slugging for the season, DJ LeMahieu had a 0.534 slugging percentage. He had a 0.386 OBP with 4 at bats. He had a game batting average of 0.337. He gave up 0 Ks in the game.

Trey Mancini led the Orioles in hitting against the Yankees's pitching. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.537 slugging percentage in the game. The Orioles hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing. He had a 0.340 OBP with 4 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.276.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 02:32:25 UTC


Orioles Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Jonathan Villar (SS)4000.2670.3350.436
Trey Mancini (DH)4000.2760.3400.537
Anthony Santander (RF)4110.3030.3440.517
Renato Nunez (1B)4110.2370.3030.472
Jace Peterson (LF)4000.2460.2840.406
Hanser Alberto (2B)4000.3200.3420.427
Chance Sisco (C)3000.2170.3180.403
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)3110.2270.2710.406
Rio Ruiz (3B)2000.2470.3160.365

Yankees Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
DJ LeMahieu (1B)4110.3370.3860.534
Aaron Judge (RF)5120.2670.3940.462
Giovanny Urshela (3B)5110.3360.3790.590
Gary Sanchez (DH)4010.2280.2990.506
Gleyber Torres (2B)4100.2830.3490.521
Didi Gregorius (SS)5100.2620.2880.451
Cameron Maybin (LF)3120.3120.3900.526
Austin Romine (C)4100.2710.2950.422
Mike Tauchman (CF)3110.2990.3810.574