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Orioles (+260) at Yankees (-300)
Over/Under: 10.0 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Yankees (Probablity Correct: 67.47%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 70.98%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Yankees | 8 | 15 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 13, 2019 07:31:29 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 32.53%
Prob Home Team Wins: 67.47%
Average Comb Score: 8.52
Median Comb Score: 8.00
Std Comb Score: 4.14
Prob Over: 29.02%
Prob Under: 70.98%
Yankees's Starting Hurler Domingo German with a Predicted Home Win Over the Orioles
Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos
The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
United States Naval Academy License
August 13, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Brett Gardner and Jonathan Villar, our model estimates the Yankees have an estimated 67.70% likelihood of defeating the Orioles.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Yankees's Domingo German and the Orioles's John Means. Domingo German is estimated from the model to throw for 7.160 innings, allowing 1.602 earned runs, with 6.987 Ks. John Means is estimated to have 2.413 earned runs, 21.665 outs, and 6.550 strike outs.
The Yankees's Mike Tauchman and the Orioles's Trey Mancini will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Tauchman is predicted to have 0.537 RBIs and score 0.564 runs over an estimated 3.619 at-bats. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.464 RBIs and score 0.489 runs over an estimated 4.200 at-bats.
The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +260 odds and a forecasted 32.30% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 74.21% over estimate and -120 line odds for 10.0 runs.
Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC
Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4.29 | 0.45 | 0.98 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.222 | 0.285 | 0.362 |
| Trey Mancini (DH) | 4.20 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.233 | 0.292 | 0.450 |
| Anthony Santander (RF) | 4.21 | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.45 | 0.24 | 0.252 | 0.293 | 0.421 |
| Renato Nunez (1B) | 4.04 | 0.39 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.28 | 0.194 | 0.253 | 0.382 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 3.97 | 0.30 | 0.77 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.189 | 0.244 | 0.311 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 4.02 | 0.28 | 1.10 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.267 | 0.289 | 0.356 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 3.58 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.185 | 0.276 | 0.341 |
| Stephen Wilkerson (CF) | 3.74 | 0.29 | 0.68 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.176 | 0.217 | 0.309 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 3.50 | 0.29 | 0.72 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.200 | 0.261 | 0.292 |
Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 4.61 | 0.68 | 1.43 | 0.54 | 0.34 | 0.305 | 0.353 | 0.479 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 4.05 | 0.62 | 0.99 | 0.48 | 0.77 | 0.240 | 0.363 | 0.414 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4.44 | 0.62 | 1.36 | 0.69 | 0.25 | 0.301 | 0.346 | 0.533 |
| Gary Sanchez (DH) | 4.26 | 0.56 | 0.87 | 0.76 | 0.31 | 0.199 | 0.265 | 0.452 |
| Gleyber Torres (2B) | 4.11 | 0.55 | 1.06 | 0.63 | 0.40 | 0.252 | 0.319 | 0.464 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 4.24 | 0.45 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.16 | 0.231 | 0.259 | 0.395 |
| Cameron Maybin (LF) | 3.85 | 0.54 | 1.11 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.283 | 0.355 | 0.487 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 4.04 | 0.42 | 0.95 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.228 | 0.252 | 0.362 |
| Mike Tauchman (CF) | 3.64 | 0.57 | 0.98 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 0.264 | 0.339 | 0.516 |
Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Means | 21.59 | 6.90 | 2.56 | 0.17 | 2.49 | 6.64 | 32.64% |
Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 23.14 | 0.00 | 2.01 | 0.26 | 1.71 | 7.14 | 66.81% |
Orioles Slugger Jonathan Villar's Stick Not Enough Against Yankees, 3-8
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jonathan Villar
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 13, 2019 -- The visiting Orioles lose to the home town Yankees 3 to 8 in bad loss.
Slugger Jonathan Villar's performance on the bases, could not overcome Yankees's defense against starter John Means. With 4 at bats, Jonathan Villar had a 0.335 OBP. His batting average was 0.267 in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts.
Slugger DJ LeMahieu's leadership helped the Yankees against Orioles. The Yankees' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. Leading the team in slugging for the season, DJ LeMahieu had a 0.534 slugging percentage. He had a 0.386 OBP with 4 at bats. He had a game batting average of 0.337. He gave up 0 Ks in the game.
Trey Mancini led the Orioles in hitting against the Yankees's pitching. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.537 slugging percentage in the game. The Orioles hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing. He had a 0.340 OBP with 4 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.276.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 02:32:25 UTC
Orioles Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Villar (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.267 | 0.335 | 0.436 |
| Trey Mancini (DH) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.276 | 0.340 | 0.537 |
| Anthony Santander (RF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.303 | 0.344 | 0.517 |
| Renato Nunez (1B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.237 | 0.303 | 0.472 |
| Jace Peterson (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.246 | 0.284 | 0.406 |
| Hanser Alberto (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.320 | 0.342 | 0.427 |
| Chance Sisco (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.217 | 0.318 | 0.403 |
| Stephen Wilkerson (CF) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.227 | 0.271 | 0.406 |
| Rio Ruiz (3B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.247 | 0.316 | 0.365 |
Yankees Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.337 | 0.386 | 0.534 |
| Aaron Judge (RF) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.267 | 0.394 | 0.462 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.336 | 0.379 | 0.590 |
| Gary Sanchez (DH) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.228 | 0.299 | 0.506 |
| Gleyber Torres (2B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.349 | 0.521 |
| Didi Gregorius (SS) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.262 | 0.288 | 0.451 |
| Cameron Maybin (LF) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.312 | 0.390 | 0.526 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.271 | 0.295 | 0.422 |
| Mike Tauchman (CF) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.299 | 0.381 | 0.574 |