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Royals (+155) at Indians (-165)
Over/Under: 11.0 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Indians (Probablity Correct: 58.00%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 60.29%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Indians | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Jul 20, 2019 08:31:17 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 42.00%
Prob Home Team Wins: 58.00%
Average Comb Score: 10.80
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.90
Prob Over: 39.71%
Prob Under: 60.29%
Jorge Soler's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Royals Over the Indians
Sat, Jul 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jorge Soler
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
July 20, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Royals are likely to fail on the road with a 57.06% chance of being correct against the Indians.
The Royals have Jake Junis as the probable starting pitcher against Adam Plutko. The Royals's Jake Junis is predicted to throw for 6.297 innings, allowing 3.038 earned runs, with 6.403 Ks. Adam Plutko is estimated from the model to throw for 6.469 innings, allowing 2.961 earned runs, with 6.050 Ks.
The Royals's Jorge Soler and the Indians's Carlos Santana will slug it out from the plate. According to our game model, Jorge Soler RF is estimated to have 0.828 RBIs and score 0.639 runs over an estimated 4.268 at-bats. Carlos Santana 1B is forecast to bat for 0.300 with 0.739 RBIs and 0.765 runs scored.
With +150 money line odds and a estimated 42.94% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Royals over the Royals. With a predicted 56.32% likelihood and -115 odds at 11.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, July 20, 2019 07:03:37 MST
Royals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (RF) | 4.64 | 0.73 | 1.50 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 0.316 | 0.369 | 0.517 |
| Alex Gordon (LF) | 4.36 | 0.68 | 1.24 | 0.54 | 0.42 | 0.278 | 0.358 | 0.443 |
| Hunter Dozier (3B) | 4.23 | 0.69 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.289 | 0.374 | 0.538 |
| Jorge Soler (DH) | 4.25 | 0.62 | 1.06 | 0.83 | 0.39 | 0.244 | 0.318 | 0.504 |
| Cheslor Cuthbert (1B) | 4.38 | 0.48 | 1.33 | 0.70 | 0.23 | 0.298 | 0.332 | 0.467 |
| Humberto Arteaga (SS) | 4.09 | 0.35 | 1.03 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.247 | 0.308 | 0.332 |
| Nicky Lopez (2B) | 4.14 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.237 | 0.276 | 0.309 |
| Cam Gallagher (C) | 3.74 | 0.38 | 0.84 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.218 | 0.310 | 0.292 |
| Billy Hamilton (CF) | 3.78 | 0.36 | 0.84 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.216 | 0.282 | 0.271 |
Indians Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4.68 | 0.79 | 1.43 | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.301 | 0.362 | 0.525 |
| Oscar Mercado (CF) | 4.60 | 0.69 | 1.45 | 0.62 | 0.30 | 0.308 | 0.360 | 0.493 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 4.05 | 0.70 | 1.22 | 0.73 | 0.86 | 0.295 | 0.418 | 0.542 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 4.41 | 0.48 | 1.13 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.249 | 0.309 | 0.385 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4.16 | 0.53 | 1.02 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.239 | 0.327 | 0.385 |
| Jake Bauers (DH) | 4.14 | 0.59 | 1.10 | 0.61 | 0.43 | 0.260 | 0.331 | 0.424 |
| Roberto Perez (C) | 3.90 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.250 | 0.341 | 0.504 |
| Greg Allen (LF) | 3.89 | 0.53 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 0.21 | 0.237 | 0.314 | 0.438 |
| Tyler Naquin (RF) | 3.99 | 0.62 | 1.23 | 0.67 | 0.23 | 0.301 | 0.341 | 0.530 |
Royals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Junis | 20.62 | 6.10 | 2.98 | 0.36 | 3.02 | 6.32 | 41.44% |
Indians Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Plutko | 21.19 | 6.48 | 2.52 | 0.37 | 2.82 | 6.51 | 55.23% |
Jorge Soler Effort Helps the Royals Beat the Indians, 1-0
Sun, Jul 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Hunter Dozier
Minda Haas Kuhlmann on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
July 20, 2019 -- The Royals hold onto a win on the road against the Indians with a 1-0 win.
Jorge Soler DH led the Royals led in hitting against the Indians's pitching. The Royals hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing. He had a 0.320 OBP with 2 at bats. He had 0 Ks in the game. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.511.
The Royals's starting pitcher Jake Junis led team on the mound. The Royals pitcher threw for 2 hits and 3 walks allowed. The pitcher allowed 0.335 OBP. The hurler gave up 0 earned runs in 6.0 innings.
Posted at Sun, July 21, 2019 08:08:45 MST
Royals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Merrifield (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.313 | 0.364 | 0.508 |
| Alex Gordon (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.281 | 0.358 | 0.444 |
| Hunter Dozier (3B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.290 | 0.370 | 0.548 |
| Jorge Soler (DH) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.245 | 0.320 | 0.511 |
| Cheslor Cuthbert (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.293 | 0.327 | 0.452 |
| Humberto Arteaga (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.224 | 0.283 | 0.245 |
| Nicky Lopez (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.234 | 0.274 | 0.306 |
| Cam Gallagher (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.235 | 0.321 | 0.327 |
| Billy Hamilton (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.218 | 0.282 | 0.274 |
Indians Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.290 | 0.346 | 0.498 |
| Oscar Mercado (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.294 | 0.346 | 0.468 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.406 | 0.528 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.243 | 0.299 | 0.368 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.229 | 0.309 | 0.370 |
| Jake Bauers (DH) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.243 | 0.311 | 0.397 |
| Roberto Perez (C) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.239 | 0.327 | 0.478 |
| Greg Allen (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.232 | 0.304 | 0.439 |
| Tyler Naquin (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.288 | 0.324 | 0.508 |