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Marlins (+280) at Dodgers (-330)
Over/Under: 8.0 (-120/+100)

Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 78.79%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 50.38%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Marlins660
Dodgers10123
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Jul 20, 2019 10:31:21 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 21.21%
Prob Home Team Wins: 78.79%
Average Comb Score: 8.99
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.37
Prob Over: 50.38%
Prob Under: 49.62%

Marlins Forecasted to Lose at Home to Dodgers Despite Cesar Puello's Effort

Sat, Jul 20, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

July 20, 2019 -- The Marlins predicted with a 77.44% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Dodgers based on the Snoozle Sports model

On the mound for the Marlins will be Sandy Alcantara matched up against Clayton Kershaw. The Snoozle model estimates the Marlins pitcher will have an outing for 6.238 innings, allowing 3.011 earned runs, with 3.400 walks. Our model forecasts the Dodgers pitcher will have an outing for 7.095 innings, allowing 1.671 earned runs, with a 2.282 walks.

Sluggers Cesar Puello from the Marlins and Cody Bellinger from the Dodgers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Cesar Puello is forecast to bring in 0.397 RBIs and 0.340 runs scored, with an 0.352 OBP and 0.749 Ks. Cody Bellinger is forecast to bat for 0.345 with 1.076 RBIs and 0.899 runs scored.

With -320 money line odds and a forecasted 77.44% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Dodgers over the Marlins. Based on the over(-120)/under(+100) odds, the 8.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sat, July 20, 2019 07:03:37 MST


Marlins Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Miguel Rojas (SS)4.350.321.020.210.290.2290.2820.289
Martin Prado (3B)4.430.250.830.220.140.1840.2080.234
Garrett Cooper (1B)4.020.431.070.470.350.2600.3280.429
Brian Anderson (RF)3.930.360.800.370.350.2000.2760.349
Starlin Castro (2B)4.120.250.820.310.130.1950.2190.275
Harold Ramírez (LF)3.940.300.950.280.150.2350.2700.333
Cesar Puello (CF)3.570.361.000.430.260.2740.3520.462
Bryan Holaday (C)3.550.240.800.290.310.2200.2880.303
Sandy Alcantara (P)3.120.140.210.060.630.0640.2240.076

Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (1B)4.530.891.160.750.520.2500.3460.548
Alex Verdugo (LF)4.680.801.500.590.380.3140.3680.516
Justin Turner (3B)4.400.801.370.620.420.3050.3860.480
Cody Bellinger (RF)4.090.951.431.100.760.3430.4480.716
Max Muncy (2B)4.040.701.150.910.710.2770.3870.558
A.J. Pollock (CF)4.190.491.150.660.380.2680.3410.439
Corey Seager (SS)3.990.491.120.530.520.2750.3640.457
Austin Barnes (C)3.900.430.840.470.450.2110.3060.347
Clayton Kershaw (P)3.930.300.680.230.260.1690.2110.186

Marlins Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Sandy Alcantara20.275.573.310.483.096.2221.05%

Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Clayton Kershaw23.065.732.170.421.657.1077.82%

Joc Pederson's Dodgers at Home Beat the Marlins, 10-6

Sun, Jul 21, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

July 20, 2019 -- The Dodgers take the home win over the Marlins, 10 to 6.

Slugger Joc Pederson's leadership helped the Dodgers against Marlins. The Dodgers' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had a 0.327 OBP with 3 at bats. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.236. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Joc Pederson had a 0.518 slugging percentage.

Dodgers were led on hitting by Cody Bellinger. In the game, he had a 0.332 batting average. He had a 0.433 OBP with 1 at bat. The hitter had a 0.691 slugging in the game.

Posted at Sun, July 21, 2019 08:08:45 MST


Marlins Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Miguel Rojas (SS)2000.2810.3370.352
Martin Prado (3B)3000.2380.2620.300
Garrett Cooper (1B)3100.3120.3870.512
Brian Anderson (RF)4120.2440.3260.424
Starlin Castro (2B)3110.2500.2770.359
Harold Ramírez (LF)4010.2810.3200.395
Cesar Puello (CF)4000.1900.2990.207
Bryan Holaday (C)4100.3090.3970.455
Sandy Alcantara (P)1000.1610.2120.194

Dodgers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (1B)3110.2360.3270.518
Alex Verdugo (LF)4000.3000.3480.495
Justin Turner (3B)3110.2940.3740.472
Cody Bellinger (RF)1200.3320.4330.691
Max Muncy (2B)5010.2680.3700.539
A.J. Pollock (CF)4000.2520.3180.412
Corey Seager (SS)4200.2720.3540.448
Austin Barnes (C)3220.2030.2930.340
Clayton Kershaw (P)2010.1000.1000.100