Yankees Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Indians Despite Giovanny Urshela's Effort

Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos

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James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 17, 2019 -- The Yankees have a 61.49% likelihood to fall to the Indians with a based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher James Paxton for the Yankees will be matched up with the Indians probable starter Zach Plesac. The Yankees starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.550 outs, allow 3.127 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Indians pitcher will have an outing for 6.703 innings, allowing 2.337 earned runs, with 2.664 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Giovanny Urshela and Carlos Santana from Yankees and Indians, respectively. According to our game model, Giovanny Urshela is estimated to bring in 0.658 RBIs and 0.571 run scored, with an 0.340 OBP and 0.750 Ks. According to our game model, Carlos Santana 1B is estimated to have 0.756 RBIs and score 0.827 runs over an estimated 4.037 at-bats.

With +145 money line odds and a estimated 61.49% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the Indians. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 10.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC