Visiting Underdog Baylor Likely Winner Over Texas

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- Baylor has an predicted 71.3% chance for a road over Texas.

Baylor is estimated to score 34.0 points on the road. Baylor is forecast to pass for 2.9 touchdowns on 37.2 pass attempts with 32.5 competitions for 401.1 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. Our model forecasts Baylor will rush for 1.3 touchdowns against the Texas defense on 37.2 attempts for a projected 180.5 yards.

Texas has an average of 22.3 points in our model for the game. Texas is estimated from the model to throw for 267.3 yards on 31.0 attempts for 25.9 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions. The model estimates Texas will run on 30.6 attempts against Baylor with an estimated total of 156.2 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Baylor is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 71.3% probability to beat the +10.0 point spread. With an over/under of 62.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 59.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC