Visiting Richmond's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Boston College

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Richmond is likely to fail on the road with a 83.7% chance of being correct against Boston College.

On the road, Richmond is forecast to score 21.5 points against Boston College. Richmond is predicted from the model to throw for 329.7 yards on 31.7 attempts for 27.7 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts Richmond will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Boston College defense on 31.7 attempts for a projected 95.7 yards.

In their hometown, Boston College is forecast to score 43.7 points. Our model forecasts Boston College will pass for 3.5 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the Richmond defense on a projected 17.3 competitions with 31.7 attempts for 429.8 passing yards. Boston College is predicted from the model to run for 2.0 touchdowns against Richmond with 56.4 rush attempts for 297.7 yards.

Richmond is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 68.0% likelihood estimate to cover a +32.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 91.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 56.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST