Visiting Cardinals Hurler Michael Wacha Predicted Loser Against Reds

Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Cardinal Hurler Michael Wacha in 2017.
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August 15, 2019 -- The Cardinals has an estimated 77.65% likelihood to lose to the Reds based on our model.

On the mound for the Cardinals will be Michael Wacha matched up against Sonny Gray. The Cardinals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.622 outs, allow 3.685 earned runs, and a 0.001 probability of a complete game. Sonny Gray is estimated from the model to throw for 6.992 innings, allowing 1.901 earned runs, with 6.662 Ks.

Marcell Ozuna, Cardinals's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Aristides Aquino in today's game. Marcell Ozuna is forecast to bring in 0.544 RBIs and 0.485 runs scored, with an 0.297 OBP and 0.895 Ks. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to bring in 1.382 RBIs and 0.947 runs scored, with an 0.406 OBP and 1.125 Ks.

Based on the -155 odds and an estimated 77.65% chance to win, the Reds are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.76% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 13:03:49 UTC