Underdog Michigan State on the Road Forecasted to Beat Penn State

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-12 -- According to our model, Michigan State predicted to over perform on the road against Penn State with a 52.0% chance to win.

Based on the montecarlo model, Michigan State has an average of 28.2 points for the game. Michigan State is forecast to pass for 2.4 touchdowns on 36.8 pass attempts with 30.8 competitions for 367.9 yards, and a predicted 1.7 interceptions. Michigan State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.9 touchdowns against Penn State with 37.1 rush attempts for 135.4 yards.

Penn State is predicted to score 26.9 points on the home turf against Michigan State. Our model forecasts Penn State will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the Michigan State defense on a projected 30.6 competitions with 37.0 attempts for 355.5 passing yards. Penn State is forecast to rush for 160.8 yards on 37.0 attempts with an estimated 1.0 rushing touchdowns.

An estimated 81.0% likelihood to beat a +15.5 point spread, the best value is on Michigan State in their matchup against Penn State. With an over/under of 46.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 90.4% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:01:13 UTC