Tigers Predicted to Fall at Home to Twins Despite Brandon Dixon's Effort

Sun, Sep 1, 2019 | Emma Botos


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September 1, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Tigers are predicted with a 83.56% to lose at home against the Twins.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Tigers's Spencer Turnbull and the Twins's Michael Pineda. Our model forecasts the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 6.229 innings, allowing 3.203 earned runs, with a 2.772 walks. The Twins's Michael Pineda is predicted to throw for 7.224 innings, allowing 1.750 earned runs, with 8.464 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Brandon Dixon of the Tigers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Nelson Cruz. Brandon Dixon is forecast to bat for 0.213 with 0.366 RBIs and 0.347 runs scored. The Twins's Nelson Cruz RF from the plate is forecast to score 0.902 runs, 0.997 RBIs and have a 0.400 OBP.

According to the -220 ML away odds and an predicted 83.56% chance to win, the Twins are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(-115)/under(-105) odds, the 9.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sun, September 1, 2019 13:04:25 UTC