Tigers Predicted to Fall at Home to Mariners Despite Ronny Rodriguez's Effort

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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August 14, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Tigers are predicted with a 82.52% to lose at home against the Mariners.

On the mound for the Tigers will be Edwin Jackson paired against Marco Gonzales. Our model forecasts the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 5.816 innings, allowing 4.238 earned runs, with a 3.375 walks. Marco Gonzales is estimated to have 2.039 earned runs, 22.625 outs, and 8.164 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Ronny Rodriguez of the Tigers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Tom Murphy. Ronny Rodriguez is forecast to bat for 0.203 with 0.487 RBIs and 0.390 runs scored. Tom Murphy is forecast to bring in 1.123 RBIs and 0.867 runs scored, with an 0.372 OBP and 1.768 Ks.

According to the -140 ML away odds and an predicted 82.52% chance to win, the Mariners are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.90% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC