The Visiting Underdog Texans Likely Winner Over the Browns

Sat, Nov 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-15 -- On the road, the Texans take the Browns for a 65.9% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Texans to score 23.5 points on the road. The Texans are forecast to pass for 1.9 touchdowns on 39.7 pass attempts with 26.7 competitions for 318.3 yards, and a predicted 1.7 interceptions. The model predicts the Texans will rush on 28.9 attempts against the Browns with an estimated total of 127.1 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

At home, the Browns are forecast to score 15.2 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Browns will throw 20.2 competitions on 34.4 attempts against the Texans with an estimated 0.1 interception for a total of 204.8 yards and 1.0 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Browns will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Texans defense on 26.7 attempts for a projected 138.0 yards.

Based on a predicted 73.8% probability to cover a +3.0 spread, the Texans are the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 54.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 49.0 runs.

Posted at Sat, November 14, 2020 13:04:15 UTC