The Visiting Underdog Chiefs Likely Winner Over the Ravens

Tue, Sep 29, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-29 -- On the road, the Chiefs take the Ravens for a 78.9% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

On the road, the Chiefs are forecast to score 29.1 points against Ravens. The Chiefs are predicted from the model to throw for 341.7 yards on 45.8 attempts for 29.1 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against Ravens with 31.1 rush attempts for 210.9 yards.

The Ravens are estimated to score 14.1 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Ravens will throw 19.0 competitions on 36.9 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 210.6 yards and 1.0 passing touchdowns. The Ravens are forecast to rush for 117.4 yards on 23.0 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 84.9% probability to cover a +3.5 spread, the Chiefs are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 54.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 56.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, September 29, 2020 13:02:01 UTC