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The Visiting Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Expected Winner Over the Royals
Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
September 14, 2019 -- The Astros with a 73.61% forecasted chance to beat the Royals on the road based on the Snoozle model.
On the mound for the Astros will be Zack Greinke matched up against Mike Montgomery. The Snoozle model estimates the Astros pitcher will have an outing for 6.675 innings, allowing 2.519 earned runs, with 2.515 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mike Montgomery will have 3.776 earned runs, a predicted 19.498 outs, and 5.519 strike outs.
In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Jorge Soler. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bring in 1.163 RBIs and 0.973 runs scored, with an 0.438 OBP and 1.261 K. Jorge Soler RF is forecast to bat for 0.250 with 0.742 RBIs and 0.696 runs scored.
With +300 money line odds and a forecasted 26.39% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Royals over the Astros. Based on the prediction model's over 67.51% likelihood and -125 odds, the over line with 9.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 13:05:16 UTC