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The Underdog Pirates Led By Pitcher Trevor Williams Predicted at Home to Beat the Nationals

Mon, Aug 19, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Joe Ross
David on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 19, 2019 -- The Pirates have a 71.50% chance of winning at home against the Nationals according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

Likely starting pitcher Trevor Williams for the Pirates will be matched up with the Nationals probable starter Joe Ross. Our model forecasts the Pirates pitcher will have an outing for 6.319 innings, allowing 2.488 earned runs, with a 2.990 walks. Joe Ross is estimated to have 4.349 earned runs, 18.781 outs, and 5.556 strike outs.

The Pirates's Josh Bell and the Nationals's Anthony Rendon will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Josh Bell is predicted to have 1.236 RBIs and score 1.105 runs over an estimated 4.451 at-bats. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon from the plate is forecast to score 0.787 runs, 0.773 RBIs and have a 0.401 OBP.

For this matchup Pirates are the best value on the money line bets with on the +110 home ML odds and a forecasted 71.50% chance to win. According to prediction model the 65.63% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Mon, August 19, 2019 13:03:06 UTC