The Lions Forecasted at Home to Beat Favored Packers

Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-29 -- The Lions have a 54.4% chance of winning at home against the Packers according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

The Lions are predicted to score 19.1 points on the home turf against Packers. Our model forecasts the Lions will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Packers defense on a projected 24.0 competitions with 42.2 attempts for 276.8 passing yards. The model estimates the Lions will run on 25.8 attempts against the Packers with an estimated total of 113.2 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, the Packers are forecast to score 16.6 points against Lions. The Snoozle football model predicts Packers will throw 21.1 competitions on 39.1 attempts against the Lions with a forecasted 2.1 interception for a total of 236.7 yards and 1.2 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Packers will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Lions defense on 26.1 attempts for a projected 120.5 yards.

For this game Lions are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 76.5% chance to beat a +10.0 spread. With an over/under of 41.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC