The Home Lions's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Texans

Wed, Nov 25, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-26 -- The Lions have a 66.3% likelihood to fall to the Texans with a based on our model.

The Lions are predicted to score 15.4 points on the home turf against Texans. The Lions are expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 32.5 pass attempts with 19.2 competitions for 202.6 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Lions will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Texans defense on 28.0 attempts for a projected 129.2 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast the Texans to score 23.9 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Texans will throw 24.8 competitions on 40.2 attempts against the Lions with a forecasted 1.5 interceptions for a total of 322.7 yards and 1.9 touchdowns. The Texans are predicted to run for 133.5 yards on 28.5 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 63.4% probability to cover a -3.0 spread, the Texans are the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 51.5 runs.

Posted at Wed, November 25, 2020 13:08:24 UTC