The Home Browns's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Ravens

Tue, Dec 15, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-15 -- The Browns have a 63.9% likelihood to fall to the Ravens with a based on our model.

In their hometown, the Browns are forecast to score 14.3 points. Our model forecasts the Browns will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions against the Ravens defense on a projected 18.0 competitions with 32.4 attempts for 164.6 passing yards. The Browns are forecast to rush for 171.5 yards on 28.1 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

The Ravens are estimated to score 21.7 points on the road. The Ravens are forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 38.9 pass attempts with 23.2 competitions for 261.2 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. The Ravens are predicted to run for 154.0 yards on 29.9 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.

An estimated 61.4% likelihood to beat a -3.0 point spread, the best value is on the Ravens in their matchup against the Browns. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 45.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, December 15, 2020 13:03:53 UTC