Thu, Dec 26, 2019 | Rob Otto
2019-12-29 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, the Colts are likely to fail on the road with a 54.9% chance of being correct against the Jaguars.
On the road, the Colts are forecast to score 14.1 points against Jaguars. The Snoozle football model predicts Colts will throw 20.3 competitions on 36.5 attempts against the Jaguars with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 201.1 yards and 0.9 touchdowns. The Colts are estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Jaguars with 26.7 rush attempts for 131.5 yards.
The Jaguars have an average of 17.2 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Jaguars will throw 27.3 competitions on 41.2 attempts against the Colts with an estimated 1.8 interceptions for a total of 255.5 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the Jaguars will run on 24.9 attempts against the Colts with an estimated total of 115.8 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.
According to the odds and a forecasted 62.2% chance to beat the +3.5 point spread, the Jaguars are the best value. The over/under line of 43.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 59.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Thu, December 26, 2019 13:06:31 UTC