The Bears's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Lions

Thu, Nov 28, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, the Bears are likely to fail on the road with a 81.1% chance of being correct against the Lions.

On the road, the Bears are forecast to score 10.8 points against Lions. The Bears are predicted from the model to throw for 205.8 yards on 39.5 attempts for 19.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. The model predicts the Bears will rush on 19.6 attempts against the Lions with an estimated total of 65.8 yards and 0.2 running touchdowns.

The Lions are predicted to score 24.3 points on the home turf against Bears. The Lions are expected to throw for 1.8 touchdowns with 46.0 pass attempts with 28.7 competitions for 306.5 yards, and an estimated 1.7 interceptions. The Lions are forecast to rush for 150.3 yards on 30.6 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 86.5% likelihood to pass a +3.0 spread, the best value is on the Lions over the Bears against the spread. According to prediction model the 66.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 39.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, November 28, 2019 13:07:31 UTC