Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-09 -- TCU change of losing to Baylor is 66.3% based on our model.
TCU is estimated to score 20.2 points at home. Our model forecasts TCU will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Baylor defense on a projected 19.4 competitions with 33.7 attempts for 182.5 passing yards. The model estimates TCU will run on 37.3 attempts against Baylor with an estimated total of 214.8 yards and 1.1 rushing touchdown.
Based on the montecarlo model, Baylor has an average of 28.1 points for the game. Baylor is forecast to pass for 1.9 touchdowns on 37.8 pass attempts with 20.9 competitions for 304.2 yards, and a predicted 0.4 interceptions. Baylor is estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against TCU with 37.9 rush attempts for 207.8 yards.
For this game, Baylor is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 66.3% probability to beat the -2.5 point spread. With an over/under of 51.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 66.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC