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Reds Led By Pitcher Trevor Bauer at Home Expected to Beat the Padres
Mon, Aug 19, 2019 | Emma Botos
Trevor Bauer
Erik Daniel Drost on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 19, 2019 -- The Reds are forecasted to win over the visiting Padres based a 70.74% win prediction from the MLB model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Reds's Trevor Bauer and the Padres's Eric Lauer. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.953 innings, allowing 1.940 earned runs, with a 2.486 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Padres pitcher will have an outing for 6.388 innings, allowing 3.048 earned runs, with 2.341 walk.
Hitters Aristides Aquino from the Reds and Manny Machado from the Padres will lead the offense for their teams. The Reds's Aristides Aquino is estimated to score 0.933 runs, 1.268 RBIs and have a 0.366 OBP. Manny Machado is forecast to bring in 0.531 RBIs and 0.524 runs scored, with an 0.318 OBP and 0.926 Ks.
With -160 money line odds and a forecasted 70.74% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Reds over the Padres. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 52.40% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Mon, August 19, 2019 13:03:06 UTC