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Reds Led By Pitcher Luis Castillo at Home Expected to Beat the Padres
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Manny Machado
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August 21, 2019 -- The Reds have a 61.77% chance of winning at home against the Padres according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.
The hosting Reds have Luis Castillo in the rotation against the Padres's pitcher Matthew Strahm. Luis Castillo is estimated from the model to throw for 6.972 innings, allowing 1.896 earned runs, with 7.328 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Padres pitcher will have an outing for 6.679 innings, allowing 2.417 earned runs, with 2.465 walks.
Hitters Aristides Aquino from the Reds and Manny Machado from the Padres will lead the offense for their teams. The Reds's Aristides Aquino is estimated to score 0.810 runs, 1.050 RBIs and have a 0.357 OBP. Manny Machado is forecast to bring in 0.512 RBIs and 0.459 runs scored, with an 0.297 OBP and 0.916 Ks.
The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the -140 odds and a predicted 61.77% win estimate. The over/under line of 8.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.32% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 13:05:07 UTC