Reds's Starting Hurler for Underdog Trevor Bauer with a Predicted Home Win Over the Phillies

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Emma Botos


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September 4, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Reds have a 52.45% winning against the Phillies in a projected matchup between pitchers Trevor Bauer and Aaron Nola.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Reds's Trevor Bauer and the Phillies's Aaron Nola. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Trevor Bauer will have 2.402 earned runs, a predicted 21.682 outs, and 7.187 strike outs. The Phillies's Aaron Nola is predicted to throw for 6.694 innings, allowing 2.442 earned runs, with 6.472 Ks.

Aristides Aquino, Reds's top hitter, will slug it out against Corey Dickerson in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to have 1.133 RBIs and score 0.783 runs over an estimated 4.120 at-bats. Corey Dickerson is forecast to bring in 0.649 RBIs and 0.650 runs scored, with an 0.306 OBP and 0.980 Ks.

The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the +120 odds and a predicted 52.45% win estimate. The over/under line of 8.5 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 59.48% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 13:03:54 UTC