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Red Sox Led By Pitcher Rick Porcello at Home Expected to Beat the Orioles
Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos
Brooks warms up for his 09-04-15 start against the Mariners
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August 16, 2019 -- The Red Sox are forecasted to win over the visiting Orioles based a 68.24% win prediction from the MLB model.
Likely starting pitcher Rick Porcello for the Red Sox will be matched up with the Orioles probable starter Aaron Brooks. Our model forecasts the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.624 innings, allowing 2.613 earned runs, with a 2.210 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 5.980 innings, allowing 3.834 earned runs, with 3.417 walks.
Rafael Devers, Red Sox's top hitter, will slug it out against Trey Mancini in today's game. The Red Sox's Rafael Devers is estimated to score 0.970 runs, 0.901 RBIs and have a 0.399 OBP. The Orioles's Trey Mancini from the plate is forecast to score 0.709 runs, 0.658 RBIs and have a 0.343 OBP.
The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +230 odds and a forecasted 31.76% win estimate. Based on the over(+100)/under(-120) odds, the 12.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC