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Red Sox's Starting Hurler Rick Porcello with a Predicted Home Win Over the Phillies
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Drew Smyly
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 21, 2019 -- The Red Sox have a 79.22% chance of winning at home against the Phillies according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.
Probable starting pitchers Rick Porcello and Drew Smyly duel it out for the Red Sox and Phillies, respectively. The Red Sox starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.974 outs, allow 2.938 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 5.455 innings, allowing 5.095 earned runs, with 3.887 walks.
Hitters Rafael Devers from the Red Sox and Corey Dickerson from the Phillies will lead the offense for their teams. Rafael Devers is forecast to bat for 0.396 with 1.342 RBIs and 1.316 runs scored. The Phillies's Corey Dickerson from the plate is forecast to score 0.563 runs, 0.818 RBIs and have a 0.298 OBP.
The Red Sox are the best value for the money line based on the -165 odds and a predicted 79.22% win estimate. According to prediction model the 68.83% over estimate and -110 line odds for 12.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 13:05:07 UTC