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Pirates Predicted to Fall at Home to Nationals Despite Jose Osuna's Effort
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
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August 21, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Pirates are predicted with a 59.07% to lose at home against the Nationals.
Likely starting pitcher Joe Musgrove for the Pirates will be matched up with the Nationals probable starter Patrick Corbin. Joe Musgrove is estimated from the model to throw for 6.541 innings, allowing 2.584 earned runs, with 6.485 Ks. Patrick Corbin is estimated to have 2.294 earned runs, 22.080 outs, and 5.716 strike outs.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Jose Osuna and Anthony Rendon from Pirates and Nationals, respectively. The Pirates's Jose Osuna is estimated to score 0.540 runs, 0.618 RBIs and have a 0.320 OBP. According to our game model, Anthony Rendon is estimated to have 0.722 RBIs and score 0.712 runs over an estimated 4.234 at-bats.
Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Nationals -150 at Pirates +140 game. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.48% over estimate and -120 line odds for 9.0 runs.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 13:05:07 UTC