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Pirates Hurler Mitch Keller Forecasted Loser at Home Against Cubs

Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Kris Bryant
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License

August 18, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Pirates are predicted with a 73.28% to lose at home against the Cubs.

Likely starting pitcher Mitch Keller for the Pirates will be matched up with the Cubs probable starter Jose Quintana. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mitch Keller will have 3.885 earned runs, a predicted 19.330 outs, and 6.353 strike outs. Jose Quintana is estimated to have 2.660 earned runs, 21.474 outs, and 5.660 strike outs.

Josh Bell, Pirates's top hitter, will slug it out against Kris Bryant in today's game. Josh Bell is forecast to bat for 0.268 with 0.768 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored. The Cubs's Kris Bryant from the plate is forecast to score 1.046 runs, 0.960 RBIs and have a 0.446 OBP.

According to the -155 ML away odds and an predicted 73.28% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 10.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 66.88% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 13:04:26 UTC