Pirates's Starting Pitcher Chris Archer with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Angels

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Chris Archer of the Tampa Bay Rays, 2017. St.Louis
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August 14, 2019 -- According to our model, the Pirates predicted to over perform on the road against the Angels with a 52.09% chance to win.

Likely starting pitcher for the Pirates, Chris Archer, will be paired with the hosting Angels's pitcher Dillon Peters. The Pirates starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.850 outs, allow 2.810 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game. The Angels starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.676 outs, allow 3.155 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game.

Jose Osuna, Pirates's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Mike Trout in today's game. Jose Osuna is forecast to bring in 0.846 RBIs and 0.736 runs scored, with an 0.363 OBP and 0.806 Ks. The Angels's Mike Trout CF is estimated to score 0.925 runs, 0.880 RBIs and have a 0.449 OBP.

The Pirates are the best value for the money line based on the +120 odds and a forecasted 52.09% win estimate. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.72% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:44 UTC