Odds Favorite Hawaii Predicted Loser at Home Against Oregon State

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-07 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Hawaii is predicted with a 58.3% to lose at home against Oregon State.

In their hometown, Hawaii is forecast to score 33.6 points. Our model forecasts Hawaii will pass for 3.2 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the Oregon State defense on a projected 31.1 competitions with 45.2 attempts for 421.1 passing yards. The model estimates Hawaii will run on 24.5 attempts against Oregon State with an estimated total of 193.6 yards and 1.4 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, Oregon State has an average of 39.4 points for the game. Oregon State is forecast to pass for 3.2 touchdowns on 46.8 pass attempts with 26.4 competitions for 399.8 yards, and a predicted 5.1 interception. Oregon State is estimated from the model to rush for 1.8 touchdowns against Hawaii with 38.2 rush attempts for 227.2 yards.

Based on a predicted 66.6% probability to cover a +5.5 spread, Oregon State is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 61.5% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 78.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST