Nolan Arenado's Stick is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Favorite Rockies Over the Pirates

Sun, Sep 1, 2019 | Emma Botos


Steven Brault on June 26, 2018
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 1, 2019 -- The Rockies under perform at home with a 52.78% chance to lose against the Pirates based on our model.

The hosting Rockies have Steven Brault in the rotation against the Pirates's pitcher Steven Brault. Our model forecasts the Rockies pitcher will have an outing for 6.200 innings, allowing 3.421 earned runs, with a 2.381 walk. Steven Brault is estimated to have 3.421 earned runs, 20.244 outs, and 5.827 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Nolan Arenado and Josh Bell from Rockies and Pirates, respectively. According to our game model, Nolan Arenado is estimated to bring in 0.933 RBIs and 0.772 runs scored, with an 0.384 OBP and 0.673 Ks. According to our game model, Josh Bell is estimated to have 0.986 RBIs and score 0.829 runs over an estimated 4.286 at-bats.

According to the +105 ML away odds and an predicted 52.78% chance to win, the Pirates are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 14.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 66.21% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sun, September 1, 2019 13:04:25 UTC