Nationals Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Mets Despite Anthony Rendon's Effort

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zack Wheeler warming up, March 3, 2019
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 4, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Nationals are predicted with a 51.41% to lose at home against the Mets.

The hosting Nationals have Anibal Sanchez in the rotation against the Mets's pitcher Zack Wheeler. The Nationals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.231 outs, allow 2.537 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game. Zack Wheeler is estimated to have 2.343 earned runs, 21.849 outs, and 6.645 strike outs.

Hitters Anthony Rendon from the Nationals and Jeff McNeil from the Mets will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Anthony Rendon is estimated to bring in 0.694 RBIs and 0.714 runs scored, with an 0.396 OBP and 0.630 Ks. Jeff McNeil is forecast to bring in 0.547 RBIs and 0.743 runs scored, with an 0.377 OBP and 0.688 Ks.

With +115 money line odds and a estimated 51.41% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Mets over the Nationals. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 63.48% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 13:03:54 UTC