Nationals Led By Pitcher Patrick Corbin at Home Expected to Beat the Phillies

Mon, Sep 23, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zach Eflin of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 23, 2019 -- The Nationals have a 62.41% chance of winning at home against the Phillies according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

On the mound for the Nationals will be Patrick Corbin paired against Zach Eflin. Patrick Corbin is estimated from the model to throw for 6.858 innings, allowing 2.139 earned runs, with 6.873 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.320 innings, allowing 3.049 earned runs, with 3.196 walks.

The Nationals's Anthony Rendon and the Phillies's Jay Bruce will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to have 0.776 RBIs and score 0.858 runs over an estimated 4.244 at-bats. According to our game model, Jay Bruce RF is estimated to have 0.640 RBIs and score 0.512 runs over an estimated 4.027 at-bats.

For this game the Phillies are the best value on the money line bets with on the +167 away odds and a predicted 37.59% likelihood to win.

Posted at Mon, September 23, 2019 13:03:53 UTC