Mets Led By Pitcher Jacob deGrom at Home Expected to Beat the Marlins

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets, July 31, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 25, 2019 -- The Mets are forecasted to win over the visiting Marlins based a 83.25% win prediction from the MLB model.

On the mound for the Mets will be Jacob deGrom paired against Robert Dugger. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jacob deGrom will have 1.430 earned runs, a predicted 23.706 outs, and 7.203 strike outs. Robert Dugger is estimated to have 3.271 earned runs, 20.215 outs, and 6.644 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Pete Alonso and Jon Berti from Mets and Marlins, respectively. The Mets's Pete Alonso is estimated to score 0.861 run, 0.997 RBIs and have a 0.382 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jon Berti is predicted to bat for 0.220 with 0.235 RBIs and 0.362 runs scored.

Based on the -432 odds and an estimated 83.25% chance to win, the Mets are the best value for the money line. Based on the prediction model's over 57.44% likelihood and -106 odds, the over line with 7.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC