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Mets Led By Pitcher Jacob deGrom at Home Expected to Beat the Braves

Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Mike Foltynewicz signs autographs at a Houston sports collectors show in January 2014.
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August 23, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Mets have a 61.60% winning against the Braves in a projected matchup between pitchers Jacob deGrom and Mike Foltynewicz.

Probable starting pitchers Jacob deGrom and Mike Foltynewicz duel it out for the Mets and Braves, respectively. Jacob deGrom is estimated from the model to throw for 6.878 innings, allowing 2.036 earned runs, with 5.665 Ks. The Braves starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.640 outs, allow 3.002 earned runs, and a 0.006 probability of a complete game.

Hitters Pete Alonso from the Mets and Adeiny Hechavarria from the Braves will lead the offense for their teams. The Mets's Pete Alonso is estimated to score 0.869 runs, 0.909 RBIs and have a 0.385 OBP. Adeiny Hechavarria is forecast to bring in 0.984 RBIs and 0.595 runs scored, with an 0.297 OBP and 0.213 Ks.

There is no best value for Braves +160 at Mets -175 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 66.64% over likelihood and -115 odds.

Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC